EYE — National Vision Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About National Vision Holdings Inc

National Vision Holdings, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an optical retailer in the United States. The company offers eyeglasses and contact lenses, and optical accessory products; and provides eye exams through its America's Best, Eyeglass World, Vista Optical, Fred Meyer, Vista Optical military, and DiscountContacts.com. It also offers health maintenance organization and optometric services. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$17.13
Market Cap$1.37B
Float78.1M
Shares Outstanding80.1M
P/E (Forward)20.79
P/E (TTM)31.09
Price/Sales (TTM)0.68
vs. Analyst Target+70.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.31%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.70%
Revenue (TTM)$2.02B
Earnings Growth (YoY)111.20%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$29.27 (11 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.71B $36.3M $925M $179M
2021 $2.08B $128M $1.17B $277M
2022 $1.64B $42.1M $977M $159M
2023 $2.13B -$65.9M $1.13B $53.1M
2024 $1.82B -$28.5M $1.06B $89.6M
2025 $1.99B $29.6M $1.08B $152M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $486M $8.7M
Sep 2025 $487M $3.4M
Dec 2025 $503M $3.3M
Mar 2026 $544M $31.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.4%
Institutional Ownership122.7%
Short Float13.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.86%
Number of Funds Holding235

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$23.16Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.74Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$20.67Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$21.92Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.21Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$20.07Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$19.63Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.00 resistance 1.39x 0 months ago
$12.50 support 1.87x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (35 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.23% 0.30% 54.29% 2.64% -14.14%
1 Day -0.26% 0.15% 57.14% 8.02% -22.01%
1 Week -0.15% -0.64% 45.71% 19.19% -13.49%
2 Weeks -0.05% 0.20% 50.00% 20.05% -28.34%
1 Month 0.87% 1.98% 55.88% 34.66% -49.27%

Next earnings: August 1, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.1%66.7%9
Feb1.8%66.7%9
Mar-11.6%22.2%9
Apr0.4%44.4%9
May6.4%62.5%8
Jun3.4%62.5%8
Jul4.4%87.5%8
Aug-0.8%50.0%8
Sep0.1%50.0%8
Oct-0.3%37.5%8
Nov7.7%77.8%9
Dec-0.1%44.4%9

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 49.9% 403
Tuesday 0.22% 52.6% 443
Wednesday 0.00% 51.7% 439
Thursday 0.04% 49.9% 431
Friday -0.22% 47.2% 432

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 122.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value-$5.6M
Net Shares Change-166,267
% of Float-0.2%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
FAHS L READE Executive Chairman -$4.7M 3 N/A
Wilkes Alexander Chief Executive Officer -$928,900 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-12 Wilkes Alexander Chief Executive Officer -$928,900 Transaction at $26.54, now -35.5%
2025-08-29 FAHS L READE Executive Chairman -$3.3M Transaction at $24.33, now -29.6%
2026-03-09 FAHS L READE Executive Chairman -$1.0M Transaction at $29.02, now -41.0%
2025-09-17 FAHS L READE Executive Chairman -$301,277.34 Transaction at $23.91, now -28.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for National Vision Holdings Inc (EYE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EYE on Trend Edge →