ERIE — Erie Indemnity Company

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Erie Indemnity Company

Erie Indemnity Company operates as a managing attorney-in-fact for the subscribers at the Erie Insurance Exchange in the United States. It provides issuance and renewal services; sales related services, including agent compensation and sales and advertising support services; underwriting services that include underwriting and policy processing; and other services consist of customer services and administrative support services, as well as informa… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$218.19
Market Cap$11.75B
Float25.1M
Shares Outstanding46.2M
P/E (Forward)26.74
P/E (TTM)20.32
Price/Sales (TTM)2.87
vs. Analyst Target-47.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin13.97%
Operating Margin (TTM)16.88%
Revenue (TTM)$4.09B
Earnings Growth (YoY)8.70%
Dividend Rate5.8%
Analyst Target Price$115.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.57B $293M $2.57B -$267M
2021 $2.70B $298M $2.70B -$286M
2022 $2.84B $299M $376M $428M
2023 $3.27B $446M $520M $600M
2024 $3.80B $600M $676M $766M
2025 $4.07B $559M $641M $787M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.06B $175M
Sep 2025 $1.07B $183M
Dec 2025 $951M $63.4M
Mar 2026 $1.01B $150M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership45.5%
Institutional Ownership44.5%
Short Float9.2%
% of All Funds Holding4.53%
Number of Funds Holding372

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$230.89Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$277.96Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$332.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$320.86Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$278.82Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$338.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$333.02Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$251.00 resistance 1.25x 0 months ago
$269.00 resistance 1.65x 1 months ago
$318.00 resistance 1.05x 6 months ago
$417.00 resistance 1.09x 12 months ago
$539.00 resistance 1.25x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (116 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.22% -0.09% 41.38% 4.82% -6.96%
1 Day -0.44% -0.28% 45.69% 9.87% -12.38%
1 Week 0.78% 0.75% 54.31% 31.48% -16.88%
2 Weeks 0.42% 0.35% 52.59% 39.53% -17.25%
1 Month 0.92% 0.49% 50.43% 33.50% -20.84%

Next earnings: July 12, 2026 (44 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.2%32.3%31
Feb0.6%51.6%31
Mar2.1%64.5%31
Apr0.8%51.6%31
May0.4%33.3%30
Jun3.0%60.0%30
Jul1.6%56.7%30
Aug0.9%46.7%30
Sep0.6%53.3%30
Oct-0.6%40.0%30
Nov0.8%61.3%31
Dec2.0%64.5%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.05% 49.5% 1449
Tuesday 0.04% 50.3% 1585
Wednesday 0.04% 48.2% 1582
Thursday 0.05% 51.0% 1550
Friday 0.09% 51.2% 1545

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 44.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 45.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$100,951.5
Net Shares Change-465
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
DaBreo Anthony Senior Vice President, Life -$100,951.5 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-13 DaBreo Anthony Senior Vice President, Life -$100,951.5 Transaction at $217.10, now +0.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Erie Indemnity Company (ERIE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ERIE on Trend Edge →