EPRT — Essential Properties Realty Trust Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EPRT Bullish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 32, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction32
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Essential Properties Realty Trust Inc

Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that acquires, owns and manages primarily single-tenant properties that are net leased on a long-term basis to companies operating service-oriented or experience-based businesses. As of September 30, 2025, the Company's portfolio consisted of 2,266 freestanding net lease properties with a weighted average lease term of 14.4 years and a weighted average rent coverage ratio of 3.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$31.18
Market Cap$6.76B
Float215.2M
Shares Outstanding216.2M
P/E (Forward)24.63
P/E (TTM)24.57
Price/Sales (TTM)11.45
vs. Analyst Target+19.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin43.46%
Operating Margin (TTM)63.71%
Revenue (TTM)$591M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-4.30%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$37.10 (19 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $164M $42.3M $160M $132M
2021 $230M $95.7M $224M $200M
2022 $287M $134M $283M $254M
2023 $360M $191M $355M $352M
2024 $450M $203M $445M $405M
2025 $562M $253M $472M $519M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $137M $63.2M
Sep 2025 $145M $65.6M
Dec 2025 $151M $68.1M
Mar 2026 $161M $59.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership120.1%
Short Float7.2%
% of All Funds Holding4.20%
Number of Funds Holding345

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$30.70Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$31.11Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$31.27Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$28.01Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$30.89Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$31.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$28.93Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$33.90 resistance 1.23x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.30% 69.70% 1.75% -2.45%
1 Day 0.42% 0.89% 66.67% 3.97% -7.57%
1 Week 0.64% 0.99% 54.55% 11.61% -9.44%
2 Weeks 0.06% 2.29% 60.61% 17.20% -58.98%
1 Month 2.56% 2.87% 71.88% 31.12% -57.32%

Next earnings: July 22, 2026 (9 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.4%62.5%8
Feb0.9%62.5%8
Mar-4.0%37.5%8
Apr3.6%50.0%8
May-1.8%37.5%8
Jun0.0%37.5%8
Jul5.6%87.5%8
Aug3.4%75.0%8
Sep-3.4%37.5%8
Oct1.3%62.5%8
Nov6.3%87.5%8
Dec-0.4%50.0%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 52.4% 380
Tuesday 0.14% 51.9% 416
Wednesday -0.12% 48.8% 412
Thursday 0.20% 55.1% 405
Friday 0.15% 54.8% 405

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 120.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

Founder-led management: Pete Mavoides (President, CEO & Director), Max Jenkins (Executive VP & COO), AJ Peil (Executive VP & Chief Investment Officer), Robert W. Salisbury (Executive VP, CFO and Head of Corporate Finance & Strategy and Secretary), Tim Earnshaw (Senior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Treasurer), Kristin Walker (Senior Vice President of Real Estate Counsel)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$817,519.58
Net Shares Change-25,508
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Peil A Joseph Executive VP and CIO -$630,989.7 1 1 sell
Salisbury Robert Webb Executive VP and CFO -$186,529.88 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-23 Salisbury Robert Webb Executive VP and CFO -$186,529.88 Transaction at $31.88, now -2.2%
2026-03-23 Peil A Joseph Executive VP and CIO -$630,989.7 Transaction at $32.10, now -2.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Essential Properties Realty Trust Inc (EPRT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EPRT on Trend Edge →