Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates EPRT Bullish with a Setup Score of 19, net conviction 18, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
19
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
18
Actionability
20 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 31.27 vs px 30.80)
Fresh Trend Turn — 40wk turn 26w+10wk turn 6w
200wk Uptrend — rising+above (sma 28.40 vs px 30.80)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +0.40 · 4.24→4.26
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
About Essential Properties Realty Trust Inc
Essential Properties Realty Trust, Inc. is an internally managed REIT that acquires, owns and manages primarily single-tenant properties that are net leased on a long-term basis to companies operating service-oriented or experience-based businesses. As of September 30, 2025, the Company's portfolio consisted of 2,266 freestanding net lease properties with a weighted average lease term of 14.4 years and a weighted average rent coverage ratio of 3.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: REIT-Retail
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: June 21, 2018
Headquarters: 5 Vaughn Drive, Princeton, NJ, United States, 08540
Founder-Led: Yes — Pete Mavoides (President, CEO & Director), Max Jenkins (Executive VP & COO), AJ Peil (Executive VP & Chief Investment Officer), Robert W. Salisbury (Executive VP, CFO and Head of Corporate Finance & Strategy and Secretary), Tim Earnshaw (Senior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Treasurer), Kristin Walker (Senior Vice President of Real Estate Counsel)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$30.80
Market Cap
$6.76B
Float
215.2M
Shares Outstanding
216.3M
P/E (Forward)
24.63
P/E (TTM)
24.16
Price/Sales (TTM)
10.98
vs. Analyst Target
+20.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
43.51%
Operating Margin (TTM)
62.47%
Revenue (TTM)
$615M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
7.50%
Dividend Rate
1.3%
Analyst Target Price
$37.06 (19 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$164M
$42.3M
$160M
$132M
2021
$230M
$95.7M
$224M
$200M
2022
$287M
$134M
$283M
$254M
2023
$360M
$191M
$355M
$352M
2024
$450M
$203M
$445M
$405M
2025
$562M
$253M
$472M
$519M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Sep 2025
$145M
$65.6M
Dec 2025
$151M
$68.1M
Mar 2026
$161M
$59.8M
Jun 2026
$162M
$387,000
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
0.6%
Institutional Ownership
120.1%
Short Float
8.3%
% of All Funds Holding
4.26%
Number of Funds Holding
375
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$31.33
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$31.27
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$31.28
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$28.40
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$30.99
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$31.27
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$29.08
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$33.90
resistance
1.23x
4 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (34 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.11%
0.29%
70.59%
1.75%
-2.45%
1 Day
0.35%
0.89%
64.71%
3.97%
-7.57%
1 Week
0.49%
0.56%
52.94%
11.61%
-9.44%
2 Weeks
-0.13%
1.93%
58.82%
17.20%
-58.98%
1 Month
2.42%
2.79%
69.70%
31.12%
-57.32%
Next earnings: October 21, 2026 (55 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
3.4%
62.5%
8
Feb
0.9%
62.5%
8
Mar
-4.0%
37.5%
8
Apr
3.6%
50.0%
8
May
-1.8%
37.5%
8
Jun
0.0%
37.5%
8
Jul
5.5%
88.9%
9
Aug
3.4%
75.0%
8
Sep
-3.4%
37.5%
8
Oct
1.3%
62.5%
8
Nov
6.3%
87.5%
8
Dec
-0.4%
50.0%
8
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
-0.02%
52.5%
387
Tuesday
0.13%
51.5%
423
Wednesday
-0.12%
48.9%
419
Thursday
0.20%
55.1%
412
Friday
0.15%
54.9%
412
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 120.1%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 0.6%
Founder-led management: Pete Mavoides (President, CEO & Director), Max Jenkins (Executive VP & COO), AJ Peil (Executive VP & Chief Investment Officer), Robert W. Salisbury (Executive VP, CFO and Head of Corporate Finance & Strategy and Secretary), Tim Earnshaw (Senior VP, Chief Accounting Officer & Treasurer), Kristin Walker (Senior Vice President of Real Estate Counsel)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Essential Properties Realty Trust Inc
(EPRT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.