ELVA — Electrovaya Inc.

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ELVA Bullish with a Setup Score of 43, net conviction 27, actionability 69. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score43
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction27
Actionability69 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Electrovaya Inc.

Electrovaya Inc. engages in the design, development, manufacture, and sale of lithium-ion batteries, battery management systems, and battery-related products for energy storage, clean electric transportation, and other specialized applications in North America. It operates infinity battery systems comprising of low and high voltage systems. The company also operates solid state battery technology. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$5.75
Market Cap$287M
Float32.5M
Shares Outstanding49.5M
P/E (Forward)26.18
P/E (TTM)57.90
Price/Sales (TTM)3.99
vs. Analyst Target+153.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.45%
Revenue (TTM)$71.8M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-69.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.60 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $13.7M $1.1M $4.1M $4.4M
2021 $9.9M -$7.5M $2.3M -$4.5M
2022 $15.6M -$9.2M $3.2M -$6.4M
2023 $43.4M -$1.5M $11.2M $1.2M
2024 $44.6M -$1.5M $13.7M $2.9M
2025 $63.6M $3.4M $19.5M $5.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $20.3M $2.0M
Dec 2025 $15.6M $1.0M
Mar 2026 $17.8M $1.0M
Jun 2026 $17.3M $297,254

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership30.7%
Institutional Ownership30.3%
Short Float13.7%
% of All Funds Holding1.06%
Number of Funds Holding93

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.62Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.68Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$4.58Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$8.48Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.61Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.74Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.50 resistance 3.11x 2 months ago
$4.70 support 2.16x 9 months ago
$3.50 support 2.44x 14 months ago
$2.60 support 1.16x 16 months ago
$2.10 support 2.35x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (65 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.18% 0.00% 26.15% 14.67% -18.54%
1 Day -1.75% -0.40% 24.62% 14.29% -15.79%
1 Week -3.24% -4.92% 30.77% 35.71% -33.75%
2 Weeks -1.95% -4.12% 32.31% 50.00% -33.75%
1 Month 4.27% -2.55% 40.63% 212.94% -33.33%

Next earnings: October 30, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.6%62.5%16
Feb1.5%52.9%17
Mar22.0%47.1%17
Apr6.7%41.2%17
May-3.2%35.3%17
Jun10.8%47.1%17
Jul5.7%47.1%17
Aug-5.7%29.4%17
Sep5.0%41.2%17
Oct-3.0%18.8%16
Nov2.4%25.0%16
Dec-2.4%31.3%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.29% 30.8% 788
Tuesday 0.23% 30.9% 866
Wednesday 0.15% 31.0% 864
Thursday 0.23% 28.0% 849
Friday -0.05% 31.2% 845

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 30.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 30.7%

Founder-led management: Sankar Das Gupta (Executive Chairman), Jim Jacobs (Co-Founder and Director)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Electrovaya Inc. (ELVA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ELVA on Trend Edge →