ELME — Elme Communities

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Elme Communities

Elme Communities is committed to elevating what home can be for middle-income renters by providing a higher level of quality, service, and experience. The Company is a multifamily real estate investment trust that owns and operates approximately 9,400 apartment homes in the Washington, DC metro and the Atlanta metro regions, and owns approximately 300,000 square feet of commercial space.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$2.01
Market Cap$179M
Float75.0M
Shares Outstanding88.9M
P/E (Forward)43.48
Price/Sales (TTM)0.72
vs. Analyst Target+795.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-74.71%
Operating Margin (TTM)-3.44%
Revenue (TTM)$248M
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$18.00 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $176M -$15.7M $107M $117M
2021 $169M -$21.8M $102M $76.5M
2022 $209M -$30.9M $128M $85.8M
2023 $228M -$53.0M $140M $66.4M
2024 $242M -$13.1M $144M $121M
2025 N/A -$154M -$76.6M -$44.0M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $62.1M -$3.6M
Sep 2025 $62.1M -$124M
Dec 2025 -$186M -$22.4M
Mar 2026 N/A -$4.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.7%
Institutional Ownership81.4%
Short Float3.6%
% of All Funds Holding2.15%
Number of Funds Holding177

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$2.08Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.25Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$14.93Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.57Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.87Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.20Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$17.40 resistance 5.00x 3 months ago
$17.40 resistance 1.19x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (97 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.13% -0.13% 44.33% 11.68% -6.13%
1 Day -0.26% 0.00% 48.45% 11.23% -12.75%
1 Week -0.72% -0.17% 45.36% 15.49% -22.75%
2 Weeks -0.87% -0.82% 42.27% 28.77% -29.73%
1 Month -0.32% 0.21% 53.13% 33.50% -29.76%

Next earnings: May 28, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-0.8%56.5%46
Feb-0.5%50.0%46
Mar1.2%50.0%46
Apr1.1%57.4%47
May0.4%52.2%46
Jun0.9%60.9%46
Jul0.7%54.3%46
Aug0.0%54.3%46
Sep-0.5%47.8%46
Oct-0.2%45.7%46
Nov1.4%63.0%46
Dec0.6%60.9%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.04% 45.1% 2200
Tuesday 0.10% 46.2% 2389
Wednesday 0.03% 44.5% 2386
Thursday -0.05% 44.4% 2340
Friday 0.06% 45.9% 2326

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 81.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.7%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Elme Communities (ELME) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ELME on Trend Edge →