EBS — Emergent Biosolutions Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates EBS Bearish with a Setup Score of 49, net conviction 39, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score49
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction39
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Emergent Biosolutions Inc

Emergent BioSolutions Inc., a life sciences company, provides preparedness and response solutions for accidental, deliberate, and naturally occurring public health threats in the United States, Canada, and internationally. It operates through Commercial Products, MCM Products, and All Other Revenues segments. The company offers ACAM2000, a smallpox and mpox vaccine; Anthrax Immune Globulin Intravenous (ANTHRASIL), a polyclonal antibody therapeuti… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$8.05
Market Cap$422M
Float49.4M
Shares Outstanding51.6M
P/E (Forward)2.08
Price/Sales (TTM)0.62
vs. Analyst Target+49.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.27%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.79%
Revenue (TTM)$677M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-93.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$12.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.58B $306M $863M $609M
2021 $1.77B $220M $793M $504M
2022 $1.12B -$212M $473M $15.7M
2023 $1.05B -$761M $360M -$47.0M
2024 $1.04B -$191M $375M $53.4M
2025 $743M $52.6M $351M $240M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $141M -$12.0M
Sep 2025 $231M $51.2M
Dec 2025 $149M -$54.6M
Mar 2026 $156M $6.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.8%
Institutional Ownership86.5%
Short Float19.8%
% of All Funds Holding2.13%
Number of Funds Holding175

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$8.43Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$9.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.55Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.24Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$9.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$8.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.21Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.70 support 1.14x 10 months ago
$12.70 resistance 1.34x 22 months ago
$2.00 support 3.55x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (78 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.15% -0.14% 44.87% 52.85% -35.50%
1 Day 0.49% 0.15% 51.28% 70.98% -41.99%
1 Week 0.72% 0.34% 51.28% 126.42% -38.22%
2 Weeks 1.70% -1.14% 44.87% 173.06% -40.04%
1 Month 2.66% 0.24% 50.65% 188.08% -41.39%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.2%70.0%20
Feb-1.4%40.0%20
Mar-3.3%45.0%20
Apr-3.4%45.0%20
May11.1%60.0%20
Jun0.7%60.0%20
Jul10.6%57.9%19
Aug-1.8%47.4%19
Sep-3.5%36.8%19
Oct3.0%57.9%19
Nov-0.2%57.9%19
Dec4.4%60.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.01% 47.9% 926
Tuesday 0.10% 52.3% 1014
Wednesday 0.16% 51.7% 1013
Thursday 0.03% 45.3% 994
Friday 0.11% 49.0% 989

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 86.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings16
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change-146,114
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
LINDAHL RICHARD S EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$565,623.24 1 1 sell
Glessner Coleen EVP, Quality & Ethics, and CPL -$346,153.08 1 1 sell
Richard Ronald -$263,080.87 1 1 sell
DeGolyer Donald W -$197,824.947 2 1 sell
Zoon Kathryn C -$144,453.795 1 N/A
Katkin Keith -$128,182.68 1 N/A
Dayal Sujata Tyagi -$115,610.289 1 N/A
Williams Paul Anthony SVP, Products Business -$105,672.84 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-02-10 – 2026-02-10 4 4 -$1.1M 4 C-suite
2026-05-04 – 2026-05-04 4 4 -$518,240.721

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-10 Williams Paul Anthony SVP, Products Business -$105,672.84 Transaction at $10.92, now -26.3%
2026-02-10 LINDAHL RICHARD S EVP, Chief Financial Officer -$565,623.24 Transaction at $10.92, now -26.3%
2026-02-10 Glessner Coleen EVP, Quality & Ethics, and CPL -$346,153.08 Transaction at $10.92, now -26.3%
2026-02-10 Hartzel William SVP, Bioservices -$69,898.92 Transaction at $10.92, now -26.3%
2026-05-04 Zoon Kathryn C -$144,453.795 Transaction at $8.40, now -4.1%
2026-05-04 Katkin Keith -$128,182.68 Transaction at $8.28, now -2.8%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Emergent Biosolutions Inc (EBS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EBS on Trend Edge →