EAF — GrafTech International Ltd

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About GrafTech International Ltd

GrafTech International Ltd. manufactures graphite electrode products worldwide. The company offers graphite electrode products for the production of EAF steel and other ferrous, and non-ferrous metals; and petroleum needle coke products. It serves steel producers, and other ferrous and non-ferrous metal producers through direct sales force, independent sales representatives, and distributors. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.10
Market Cap$223M
Float18.9M
Shares Outstanding26.0M
P/E (Forward)6.80
Price/Sales (TTM)0.43
vs. Analyst Target+1.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-43.25%
Operating Margin (TTM)-24.51%
Revenue (TTM)$517M
Earnings Growth (YoY)-63.50%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.25 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.22B $434M $656M $667M
2021 $1.35B $388M $654M $589M
2022 $1.28B $383M $545M $547M
2023 $621M -$255M $26.7M -$145M
2024 $539M -$131M -$22.2M $1.7M
2025 $504M -$220M -$15.7M -$4.7M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $132M -$86.9M
Sep 2025 $144M -$28.5M
Dec 2025 $116M -$65.1M
Mar 2026 $125M -$43.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership39.2%
Institutional Ownership41.7%
Short Float3.4%
% of All Funds Holding0.96%
Number of Funds Holding79

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.93Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.70Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$12.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$25.12Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.26Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$12.09Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.27Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.00 resistance 1.96x 2 months ago
$6.50 support 1.15x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.42% 0.00% 45.45% 3.25% -9.56%
1 Day -0.77% 0.68% 51.52% 10.31% -20.15%
1 Week -3.23% -3.41% 36.36% 28.53% -31.63%
2 Weeks -2.36% -4.74% 33.33% 26.87% -32.00%
1 Month -2.38% -3.03% 40.63% 51.57% -38.03%

Next earnings: July 20, 2026 (54 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.8%25.0%8
Feb-6.7%37.5%8
Mar-9.5%12.5%8
Apr0.9%37.5%8
May3.7%37.5%8
Jun-3.3%37.5%8
Jul3.4%50.0%8
Aug-11.9%25.0%8
Sep13.8%75.0%8
Oct3.8%50.0%8
Nov3.8%75.0%8
Dec-4.5%37.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.17% 50.8% 382
Tuesday 0.09% 48.8% 418
Wednesday -0.08% 47.1% 414
Thursday -0.14% 47.9% 407
Friday -0.15% 48.7% 409

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 41.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 39.2%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for GrafTech International Ltd (EAF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for EAF on Trend Edge →