DRVN — Driven Brands Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates DRVN Bearish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 30, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction30
Actionability0 (extended)

Key signals behind this score

About Driven Brands Holdings Inc

Driven Brands Holdings Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides automotive services to retail and commercial customers in the United States and Canada. The company operates through Take 5, Franchise Brands, and Auto Glass Now segments. It offers various services, such as paint, collision, glass, repair, and oil change; maintenance services including differential fluid exchanges, coolant services and air and cabin filters; and auto glass and… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$12.68
Market Cap$2.09B
Float59.9M
Shares Outstanding165.0M
P/E (Forward)10.27
P/E (TTM)14.74
Price/Sales (TTM)1.10
vs. Analyst Target+34.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.74%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.92%
Revenue (TTM)$1.90B
Earnings Growth (YoY)444.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$17.01 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $904M -$4.2M $557M $165M
2021 $1.47B $9.6M $725M $224M
2022 $2.03B $43.2M $968M $330M
2023 $2.30B -$745M $1.03B -$506M
2024 $2.34B -$292M $1.23B $27.7M
2025 $1.86B $140M $837M $304M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $551M $47.6M
Sep 2025 $536M $60.9M
Dec 2025 $260M $26.2M
Mar 2026 $484M $54.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.1%
Institutional Ownership109.5%
Short Float15.6%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.30Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.15Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$15.55Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$18.11Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$13.91Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.53Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.35Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.80 support 2.12x 2 months ago
$15.60 resistance 1.78x 3 months ago
$16.00 resistance 1.52x 7 months ago
$18.30 resistance 1.54x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 Day N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 Week N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
2 Weeks N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A
1 Month N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 51.2% 252
Tuesday 0.03% 49.1% 281
Wednesday -0.24% 47.5% 280
Thursday -0.15% 46.9% 273
Friday 0.15% 48.2% 274

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 109.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$750,000
Net Shares Change-231,875
% of Float-0.4%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Fitzpatrick Jonathan G. -$3.4M 1 N/A
O'Melia Scott L. Chief Legal Officer -$750,000 1 N/A

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-01-23 O'Melia Scott L. Chief Legal Officer -$750,000 Transaction at $16.00, now -20.8%
2025-09-16 Fitzpatrick Jonathan G. -$3.4M Transaction at $18.14, now -30.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Driven Brands Holdings Inc (DRVN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for DRVN on Trend Edge →