CASY — Caseys General Stores Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates CASY Bullish with a Setup Score of 62, net conviction 33, actionability 117. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score62
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction33
Actionability117 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Caseys General Stores Inc

Casey's General Stores, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates convenience stores under the Casey's and Casey's General Store names in the United States. Its stores offer pizza, donuts, hot breakfast items, and sandwiches; and beverages, tobacco and nicotine products. The company's stores also provide soft drinks, energy, water, sports drinks, juices, coffee, and tea and dairy products; beer, wine, and spirits; snacks, candy, packaged bak… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$646.27
Market Cap$23.74B
Float36.7M
Shares Outstanding37.0M
P/E (Forward)29.07
P/E (TTM)30.94
Price/Sales (TTM)1.27
vs. Analyst Target+22.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin4.14%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.50%
Revenue (TTM)$18.67B
Earnings Growth (YoY)27.70%
Dividend Rate2.6%
Analyst Target Price$790.53 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $8.71B $313M $2.36B $719M
2022 $12.95B $340M $2.76B $801M
2023 $15.09B $447M $3.07B $960M
2024 $14.86B $502M $3.35B $1.07B
2025 $15.94B $547M $3.75B $1.21B
2026 $17.56B $714M $4.32B $1.39B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Oct 2025 $4.51B $206M
Jan 2026 $3.92B $130M
Apr 2026 $4.57B $163M
Jul 2026 $5.68B $274M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership91.0%
Short Float3.8%
% of All Funds Holding12.20%
Number of Funds Holding1,073

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$710.31Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$740.23Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$626.19Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$435.28Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$728.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$617.15Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$475.84Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$758.00 resistance 1.57x 0 months ago
$608.00 support 1.16x 7 months ago
$491.00 support 1.31x 12 months ago
$437.00 support 1.57x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.08% -0.26% 44.00% 12.91% -14.45%
1 Day 0.63% 0.34% 52.00% 27.07% -19.79%
1 Week 1.16% 0.77% 56.80% 32.42% -23.12%
2 Weeks 1.40% 0.81% 53.60% 39.41% -20.26%
1 Month 3.51% 4.08% 62.10% 45.23% -22.42%

Next earnings: November 27, 2026 (47 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.6%58.1%43
Feb0.3%51.2%43
Mar3.0%60.5%43
Apr0.7%55.8%43
May1.2%53.5%43
Jun3.2%62.8%43
Jul2.1%67.4%43
Aug1.0%51.2%43
Sep2.4%53.5%43
Oct1.3%59.5%42
Nov3.3%67.4%43
Dec-0.6%46.5%43

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 45.5% 2044
Tuesday 0.10% 44.7% 2220
Wednesday 0.09% 47.2% 2217
Thursday 0.08% 45.5% 2176
Friday 0.11% 47.3% 2165

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings11
Net Value-$28.8M
Net Shares Change-35,891
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
REBELEZ DARREN M President and CEO -$15.2M 1 1 sell
Bramlage Stephen P JR Chief Financial Officer -$4.8M 1 1 sell
Koschel Williams Ena Chief Operating Officer -$4.7M 2 2 sell
FRAZELL CHAD MICHAEL Chief HR Officer -$2.4M 1 1 sell
Lindsey Katrina S Chief Legal Officer -$1.6M 1 1 sell
Wing Allison M. -$443,917.4 1 1 sell
Spanos Mike +$399,004.36 2 2 buy
Castanon Moats Maria +$166,398 1 1 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-06-29 – 2026-07-10 8 7 -$28.9M 6 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-29 Spanos Mike +$199,375.36 Transaction at $778.81, now -17.0%
2026-07-08 REBELEZ DARREN M President and CEO -$15.2M Transaction at $801.46, now -19.4%
2026-07-10 Koschel Williams Ena Chief Operating Officer -$2.3M Transaction at $833.69, now -22.5%
2026-07-10 Bramlage Stephen P JR Chief Financial Officer -$4.8M Transaction at $838.16, now -22.9%
2026-07-02 Koschel Williams Ena Chief Operating Officer -$2.4M Transaction at $785.20, now -17.7%
2026-07-01 FRAZELL CHAD MICHAEL Chief HR Officer -$2.4M Transaction at $787.49, now -17.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Caseys General Stores Inc (CASY) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for CASY on Trend Edge →