BTAI — BioXcel Therapeutics Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About BioXcel Therapeutics Inc

BioXcel Therapeutics, Inc., together with its subsidiary, OnkosXcel Therapeutics LLC, operates as a biopharmaceutical company that utilizes artificial intelligence approaches to develop medicines in neuroscience and immuno-oncology in the United States. The company IGALMI, a sublingual film for the acute treatment of agitation associated with schizophrenia or bipolar I or II disorder in adults. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.14
Market Cap$32.8M
Float24.6M
Shares Outstanding27.1M
Price/Sales (TTM)51.03
vs. Analyst Target+1128.1% to analyst PT
Operating Margin (TTM)-4016.41%
Revenue (TTM)$642,000
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$14.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $24.3 -$82.0M $24.3 -$82.1M
2021 N/A -$107M -$297,000 -$107M
2022 $375,000 -$166M $355,000 -$157M
2023 $1.4M -$179M $120,000 -$165M
2024 $2.3M -$59.6M $123,000 -$44.2M
2025 $642,000 -$69.9M $178,000 -$49.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2025 $168,000 -$7.3M
Jun 2025 $120,000 -$19.2M
Sep 2025 $98,000 -$30.9M
Dec 2025 $256,000 -$12.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.0%
Institutional Ownership14.4%
Short Float17.2%
% of All Funds Holding0.45%
Number of Funds Holding37

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.23Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.07Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$2.81Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$94.46Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$2.91Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$57.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.90 resistance 9.10x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.20% 0.00% 48.48% 13.79% -35.39%
1 Day -4.12% -3.97% 27.27% 29.27% -41.49%
1 Week -8.04% -6.21% 27.27% 36.28% -55.26%
2 Weeks -8.58% -11.74% 36.36% 36.81% -48.11%
1 Month -9.17% -11.51% 33.33% 89.30% -53.92%

Next earnings: May 11, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan8.0%62.5%8
Feb20.7%75.0%8
Mar-13.5%25.0%8
Apr-3.2%33.3%9
May-2.5%37.5%8
Jun-4.7%50.0%8
Jul-0.6%37.5%8
Aug10.2%25.0%8
Sep-15.0%25.0%8
Oct-2.3%50.0%8
Nov2.1%37.5%8
Dec9.8%37.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.89% 49.4% 387
Tuesday -0.38% 41.8% 423
Wednesday -0.05% 46.1% 419
Thursday -0.24% 43.9% 412
Friday -0.04% 46.7% 413

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 14.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.0%

Founder-led management: Vimal Mehta (Chief Executive Officer & Founder)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for BioXcel Therapeutics Inc (BTAI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BTAI on Trend Edge →