BKD — Brookdale Senior Living Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Brookdale Senior Living Inc

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. owns, manages, and operates senior living communities in the United States. It operates in three segments: Independent Living, Assisted Living and Memory Care, and Continuing Care Retirement Communities (CCRCs). The Independent Living segment owns or leases communities comprising independent and assisted living units in a single community that are primarily designed for middle to upper income seniors. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$13.48
Market Cap$3.20B
Float235.5M
Shares Outstanding238.8M
P/E (Forward)47.62
Price/Sales (TTM)1.06
vs. Analyst Target+41.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-6.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.51%
Revenue (TTM)$3.00B
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$19.10 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.02B $82.0M $701M $257M
2021 $2.75B -$99.3M $489M $425M
2022 $2.74B -$238M $514M $320M
2023 $2.87B -$189M $745M $369M
2024 $2.98B -$202M $807M $421M
2025 $3.12B -$263M $645M $348M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $813M -$43.0M
Sep 2025 $778M -$115M
Dec 2025 $754M -$40.0M
Mar 2026 $765M -$6.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.0%
Institutional Ownership112.9%
Short Float16.1%
% of All Funds Holding3.14%
Number of Funds Holding258

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$13.61Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.76Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$8.96Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.54Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.92Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.03Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$15.20 resistance 1.13x 1 months ago
$10.80 support 1.52x 3 months ago
$9.30 support 1.28x 5 months ago
$8.40 support 1.06x 6 months ago
$7.60 support 1.05x 7 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (82 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.30% 0.06% 50.00% 8.72% -13.79%
1 Day 1.25% 1.07% 57.32% 32.55% -36.53%
1 Week 1.45% 0.14% 52.44% 43.29% -42.49%
2 Weeks 1.97% 0.80% 54.88% 41.61% -66.45%
1 Month 3.88% 2.99% 58.54% 71.05% -72.73%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.8%61.9%21
Feb2.7%57.1%21
Mar1.2%61.9%21
Apr8.8%66.7%21
May0.8%55.0%20
Jun-2.3%45.0%20
Jul-0.3%50.0%20
Aug2.3%40.0%20
Sep-1.7%35.0%20
Oct-2.0%50.0%20
Nov-1.0%45.0%20
Dec0.5%52.4%21

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.11% 45.5% 965
Tuesday 0.20% 49.6% 1058
Wednesday -0.01% 48.5% 1059
Thursday -0.06% 48.5% 1038
Friday 0.22% 48.2% 1035

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 112.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.0%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-90,768
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
KAESTNER H TODD -$199,908.94 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-10-02 KAESTNER H TODD -$199,908.94 Transaction at $8.47, now +59.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Brookdale Senior Living Inc (BKD) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BKD on Trend Edge →