BGS — B&G Foods Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About B&G Foods Inc

B&G Foods, Inc. manufactures, sells, and distributes a portfolio of shelf-stable and frozen foods, and household products in the United States, Canada, and Puerto Rico. It operates through Specialty, Meals, Frozen & Vegetables, and Spices & Flavor Solutions segments. The company offers frozen and canned vegetables, vegetables, canola and other cooking oils, vegetable shortening, cooking sprays, oatmeal and other hot cereals, fruit spreads, canned… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.08
Market Cap$345M
Float77.4M
Shares Outstanding81.2M
P/E (Forward)6.82
Price/Sales (TTM)0.19
vs. Analyst Target+27.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-4.23%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.02%
Revenue (TTM)$1.81B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-65.90%
Dividend Rate0.4%
Analyst Target Price$5.20 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.97B $132M $482M $355M
2021 $2.06B $67.4M $437M $297M
2022 $2.16B -$11.4M $410M $203M
2023 $2.06B -$66.2M $456M $173M
2024 $1.93B -$251M $422M -$85.1M
2025 $1.83B -$43.3M $382M $285M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $424M -$9.8M
Sep 2025 $439M -$19.1M
Dec 2025 $540M -$15.2M
Mar 2026 $409M -$32.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.4%
Institutional Ownership63.4%
Short Float13.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.49%
Number of Funds Holding205

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.97Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$4.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.25Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$4.60Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.38Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.25Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$6.80 resistance 2.22x 11 months ago
$8.60 resistance 1.77x 17 months ago
$11.10 resistance 1.39x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (76 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.17% -0.86% 43.42% 15.07% -10.56%
1 Day 1.50% -0.01% 48.68% 30.88% -28.31%
1 Week 2.30% 1.37% 53.95% 63.16% -28.68%
2 Weeks 1.78% 0.37% 50.67% 71.93% -28.91%
1 Month 3.75% -0.20% 49.33% 80.35% -26.12%

Next earnings: July 31, 2026 (65 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%36.8%19
Feb-2.9%36.8%19
Mar5.3%63.2%19
Apr2.1%57.9%19
May-0.2%61.1%18
Jun2.7%63.2%19
Jul0.0%57.9%19
Aug-1.3%42.1%19
Sep-3.2%47.4%19
Oct-4.8%15.8%19
Nov4.9%73.7%19
Dec0.2%57.9%19

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.00% 49.6% 897
Tuesday 0.06% 49.7% 982
Wednesday 0.01% 48.4% 980
Thursday -0.16% 49.4% 962
Friday 0.17% 52.2% 959

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 63.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings5
Net Value-$171,116.87
Net Shares Change-71,116
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Vogel Andrew D EVP, PRESIDENT OF MEALS -$103,762 1 1 sell
Wenner David L -$101,119.2 1 1 sell
Mullen Dennis M -$84,637.644 1 1 sell
Schoch Martin C. EVP of Supply Chain -$61,084.72 1 1 sell
Hart Eric H EVP OF HUMAN RESOURCES and CHRO -$6,270.15 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-12 – 2026-03-17 3 3 -$265,965.92 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-13 Vogel Andrew D EVP, PRESIDENT OF MEALS -$103,762 Transaction at $5.19, now -21.4%
2026-03-12 Schoch Martin C. EVP of Supply Chain -$61,084.72 Transaction at $5.40, now -24.4%
2026-03-17 Wenner David L -$101,119.2 Transaction at $5.19, now -21.3%
2025-12-01 Mullen Dennis M -$84,637.644 Transaction at $4.50, now -9.4%
2025-05-30 Hart Eric H EVP OF HUMAN RESOURCES and CHRO -$6,270.15 Transaction at $4.18, now -2.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for B&G Foods Inc (BGS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BGS on Trend Edge →