Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates BFS Bearish with a Setup Score of 7, net conviction 24, actionability 2. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
7
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
24
Actionability
2 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
80wk Downtrend — trend only (sma 33.79 vs px 36.14)
200wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 36.52 vs px 36.14)
Short Attack — velZ +6.43 · age 1w×1.00 · 0.27%
RS Breakdown — momZ +0.25 · low 8w×1.00 · vs industry
About Saul Centers Inc
Saul Centers, Inc. is a self-managed, self-administered equity REIT. Saul Centers currently operates and manages a real estate portfolio comprised of 62 properties, which includes (a) 59 community and neighborhood shopping centers and mixed-use properties with approximately 10.6 million square feet of leasable area and (b) three non-operating land and development properties. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: REIT-Retail
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: August 19, 1993
Headquarters: 7501 Wisconsin Avenue, Bethesda, MD, United States, 20814-6522
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — B. Francis Saul (Chairman & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$36.14
Market Cap
$1.24B
Float
13.6M
Shares Outstanding
24.5M
P/E (Forward)
178.57
P/E (TTM)
33.88
Price/Sales (TTM)
4.19
vs. Analyst Target
+20.4% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
12.43%
Operating Margin (TTM)
40.50%
Revenue (TTM)
$296M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-10.30%
Dividend Rate
2.4%
Analyst Target Price
$43.50 (2 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$225M
$40.4M
$167M
$147M
2021
$239M
$3.0M
$178M
$157M
2022
$246M
$50.2M
$181M
$156M
2023
$257M
$52.7M
$190M
$167M
2024
$269M
$50.6M
$197M
$172M
2025
$292M
$37.5M
$89.5M
$179M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$70.8M
$10.7M
Sep 2025
$72.0M
$10.5M
Dec 2025
$75.1M
$6.5M
Mar 2026
$78.3M
$9.1M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
47.2%
Institutional Ownership
47.5%
Short Float
2.5%
% of All Funds Holding
2.04%
Number of Funds Holding
168
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$35.90
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$33.18
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$33.79
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$36.52
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$33.33
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$34.04
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$35.88
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$34.50
support
1.49x
0 months ago
$31.90
support
1.05x
4 months ago
$29.50
support
1.09x
7 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (112 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
-0.11%
0.00%
47.32%
2.78%
-5.23%
1 Day
-0.08%
-0.03%
47.32%
5.51%
-7.25%
1 Week
0.10%
0.27%
51.79%
18.68%
-15.00%
2 Weeks
-0.21%
-0.65%
46.43%
21.76%
-20.88%
1 Month
1.28%
1.10%
55.86%
33.44%
-29.39%
Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (25 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
-1.9%
30.3%
33
Feb
-0.4%
57.6%
33
Mar
1.6%
51.5%
33
Apr
-0.2%
42.4%
33
May
-0.9%
45.5%
33
Jun
3.2%
72.7%
33
Jul
0.3%
46.9%
32
Aug
0.2%
43.8%
32
Sep
-0.2%
51.5%
33
Oct
-1.6%
42.4%
33
Nov
3.5%
60.6%
33
Dec
1.3%
60.6%
33
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.04%
47.8%
1556
Tuesday
0.09%
47.5%
1699
Wednesday
-0.07%
46.1%
1697
Thursday
0.04%
47.7%
1664
Friday
0.02%
47.4%
1657
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 47.5%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 47.2%
Founder-led management: B. Francis Saul (Chairman & CEO)
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Saul Centers Inc
(BFS) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.