BAX — Baxter International Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BAX Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 19, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction19
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About Baxter International Inc

Baxter International Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a portfolio of healthcare products in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Medical Products & Therapies, Healthcare Systems & Technologies, and Pharmaceuticals. It offers sterile intravenous (IV) solutions; infusion systems and devices; parenteral nutrition therapies; inhaled anesthetics; generic injectable pharmaceuticals; surgical hemostat and sealant produ… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$23.97
Market Cap$12.22B
Float514.4M
Shares Outstanding517.0M
P/E (Forward)11.57
Price/Sales (TTM)1.07
vs. Analyst Target+19.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-9.27%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.43%
Revenue (TTM)$11.47B
Earnings Growth (YoY)36.80%
Dividend Rate0.0%
Analyst Target Price$28.73 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $11.67B $1.10B $4.59B $2.27B
2021 $12.15B $1.28B $4.72B $2.19B
2022 $10.06B -$2.43B $3.55B -$1.76B
2023 $10.36B $2.66B $4.15B $1.73B
2024 $10.64B -$649M $3.98B $1.12B
2025 $11.24B -$957M $3.38B $766M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.83B -$46.0M
Dec 2025 $2.97B -$1.13B
Mar 2026 $2.70B -$15.0M
Jun 2026 $2.96B $126M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership110.2%
Short Float4.5%
% of All Funds Holding7.74%
Number of Funds Holding681

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.00Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$21.04Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.01Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$32.32Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.51Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.34Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$30.13Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$30.00 resistance 1.64x 14 months ago
$34.10 resistance 1.18x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.12% 0.04% 50.82% 4.06% -4.03%
1 Day 0.12% 0.04% 50.82% 6.08% -6.04%
1 Week 0.35% 0.59% 58.20% 15.26% -16.55%
2 Weeks 0.50% 0.81% 54.92% 22.40% -15.10%
1 Month 0.82% 0.97% 56.20% 19.53% -18.31%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (19 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.0%60.0%45
Feb0.1%53.3%45
Mar0.1%57.8%45
Apr1.3%60.0%45
May0.6%55.6%45
Jun0.7%53.3%45
Jul2.1%60.0%45
Aug0.6%60.0%45
Sep-2.3%46.7%45
Oct-2.2%43.2%44
Nov2.0%62.2%45
Dec1.4%64.4%45

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 46.5% 2139
Tuesday 0.12% 48.8% 2323
Wednesday 0.07% 49.0% 2321
Thursday 0.01% 49.1% 2278
Friday 0.01% 48.5% 2263

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 110.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Baxter International Inc (BAX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BAX on Trend Edge →