BAX — Baxter International Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates BAX Bearish with a Setup Score of 71, net conviction 41, actionability 122. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score71
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction41
Actionability122 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Baxter International Inc

Baxter International Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides a portfolio of healthcare products in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Medical Products & Therapies, Healthcare Systems & Technologies, and Pharmaceuticals. It offers sterile intravenous (IV) solutions; infusion systems and devices; parenteral nutrition therapies; inhaled anesthetics; generic injectable pharmaceuticals; surgical hemostat and sealant produ… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$22.62
Market Cap$11.60B
Float514.0M
Shares Outstanding516.5M
P/E (Forward)11.57
Price/Sales (TTM)1.02
vs. Analyst Target-4.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-9.70%
Operating Margin (TTM)6.03%
Revenue (TTM)$11.32B
Earnings Growth (YoY)237.90%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$21.71 (18 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $11.67B $1.10B $4.59B $2.27B
2021 $12.15B $1.28B $4.72B $2.19B
2022 $10.06B -$2.43B $3.55B -$1.76B
2023 $10.36B $2.66B $4.15B $1.73B
2024 $10.64B -$649M $3.98B $1.12B
2025 $11.24B -$957M $3.38B $766M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.81B $91.0M
Sep 2025 $2.83B -$46.0M
Dec 2025 $2.97B -$1.13B
Mar 2026 $2.70B -$15.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.3%
Institutional Ownership106.2%
Short Float8.1%
% of All Funds Holding7.58%
Number of Funds Holding623

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.07Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.40Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$34.27Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$19.39Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.27Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$31.54Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$22.90 resistance 1.28x 8 months ago
$30.00 resistance 1.64x 11 months ago
$34.10 resistance 1.18x 14 months ago
$40.00 resistance 1.22x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.11% 0.04% 50.41% 4.06% -4.03%
1 Day 0.13% 0.06% 51.24% 6.08% -6.04%
1 Week 0.33% 0.56% 57.85% 15.26% -16.55%
2 Weeks 0.50% 0.87% 55.37% 22.40% -15.10%
1 Month 0.78% 0.89% 55.83% 19.53% -18.31%

Next earnings: July 30, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.0%60.0%45
Feb0.1%53.3%45
Mar0.1%57.8%45
Apr1.3%60.0%45
May0.6%55.6%45
Jun0.7%53.3%45
Jul1.6%59.1%44
Aug0.7%61.4%44
Sep-2.2%47.7%44
Oct-2.2%43.2%44
Nov2.0%62.2%45
Dec1.4%64.4%45

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 46.4% 2127
Tuesday 0.13% 48.8% 2310
Wednesday 0.07% 49.0% 2308
Thursday 0.01% 49.2% 2265
Friday 0.01% 48.6% 2250

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 106.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.3%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Baxter International Inc (BAX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for BAX on Trend Edge →