ALGN — Align Technology Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ALGN Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 37, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Align Technology Inc

Align Technology, Inc. provides Invisalign clear aligners, Vivera retainers, and iTero intraoral scanners and services in the United States, Switzerland, and internationally. The company's Clear Aligner segment offers Invisalign comprehensive package to treat adults and teens malocclusion and features, and orthodontic needs of teenage or younger patients; and Invisalign First Phase I and Invisalign First Comprehensive Phase 2 package for younger … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$159.64
Market Cap$11.29B
Float66.9M
Shares Outstanding71.0M
P/E (Forward)14.43
P/E (TTM)28.33
Price/Sales (TTM)2.73
vs. Analyst Target+30.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin9.99%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.25%
Revenue (TTM)$4.14B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-12.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$208.60 (18 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.47B $1.78B $1.76B $481M
2021 $3.95B $772M $2.94B $1.09B
2022 $3.73B $362M $2.63B $780M
2023 $3.86B $445M $2.71B $643M
2024 $4.00B $421M $2.80B $817M
2025 $4.03B $410M $2.76B $766M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $996M $56.8M
Dec 2025 $1.05B $136M
Mar 2026 $1.04B $113M
Jun 2026 $1.06B $108M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.1%
Institutional Ownership105.2%
Short Float6.3%
% of All Funds Holding7.57%
Number of Funds Holding666

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$173.25Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$171.86Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$166.66Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$227.94Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$167.63Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$165.95Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$218.24Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$213.00 resistance 1.24x 17 months ago
$254.00 resistance 1.24x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (102 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.30% 0.66% 52.94% 26.36% -30.00%
1 Day 1.67% 1.17% 55.88% 34.97% -36.63%
1 Week 1.71% 2.05% 55.88% 38.60% -31.83%
2 Weeks 2.31% 3.76% 55.88% 46.48% -40.63%
1 Month 3.31% 2.60% 58.42% 67.83% -45.51%

Next earnings: October 17, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.8%60.0%25
Feb0.1%53.8%26
Mar1.3%46.2%26
Apr7.8%57.7%26
May2.6%53.8%26
Jun0.6%57.7%26
Jul-0.9%53.8%26
Aug0.2%52.0%25
Sep0.3%52.0%25
Oct3.0%52.0%25
Nov7.4%76.0%25
Dec2.3%60.0%25

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 50.8% 1207
Tuesday 0.09% 49.1% 1319
Wednesday 0.01% 49.6% 1319
Thursday 0.07% 50.1% 1294
Friday 0.23% 50.0% 1288

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.2%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value-$1.5M
Net Shares Change-7,969
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Morici John EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$1.5M 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-02-20 Morici John EVP, CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$1.5M Transaction at $189.31, now -15.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Align Technology Inc (ALGN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ALGN on Trend Edge →