AYA — Aya Gold & Silver Inc. Common Shares

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Aya Gold & Silver Inc. Common Shares

Aya Gold & Silver Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, evaluation, and development of precious metals projects in Morocco. The company primarily explores for gold and silver deposits. Its flagship project holds 100% interests in the Zgounder property located east of Agadir in the Proterozoic Siroua Massif of the Anti-Atlas Range, Morocco covering an area of approximately 378 square kilometers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.72
Market Cap$2.53B
Float139.1M
Shares Outstanding143.3M
P/E (Forward)10.78
P/E (TTM)29.40
Price/Sales (TTM)8.85
Profit Margin30.45%
Operating Margin (TTM)66.16%
Revenue (TTM)$286M
Earnings Growth (YoY)560.00%
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2022 $38.2M $466,000 $10.3M N/A
2023 $42.8M $5.5M $15.8M N/A
2024 $39.1M -$21.6M $5.4M N/A
2025 $202M $45.6M $83.2M $101M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $38.6M $8.8M
Sep 2025 $54.3M $12.4M
Dec 2025 $75.3M $17.4M
Mar 2026 $117M $48.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership3.5%
Institutional Ownership42.5%

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.38Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.72Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$11.58Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.31Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$11.78Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.96Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$22.00 resistance 1.13x 1 months ago
$10.00 support 2.53x 7 months ago
$6.80 support 1.47x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (40 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.08% 0.00% 40.00% 10.00% -13.15%
1 Day 1.16% 0.14% 52.50% 10.71% -10.96%
1 Week 0.85% 0.54% 50.00% 39.39% -20.19%
2 Weeks 6.04% 4.90% 63.16% 60.61% -23.84%
1 Month 7.12% -1.43% 47.37% 69.70% -16.97%

Next earnings: August 13, 2026 (77 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.0%37.5%16
Feb4.8%43.8%16
Mar1.6%37.5%16
Apr12.5%43.8%16
May-0.4%37.5%16
Jun1.9%50.0%16
Jul2.9%31.3%16
Aug6.8%37.5%16
Sep-1.9%43.8%16
Oct-0.6%31.3%16
Nov4.2%43.8%16
Dec5.7%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.10% 26.5% 756
Tuesday 0.10% 25.2% 833
Wednesday 0.47% 24.1% 829
Thursday 0.09% 24.4% 814
Friday 0.42% 27.8% 813

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 42.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 3.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Aya Gold & Silver Inc. Common Shares (AYA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AYA on Trend Edge →