AG — First Majestic Silver Corp

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AG Bullish with a Setup Score of 65, net conviction 66, actionability 64. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score65
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction66
Actionability64 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About First Majestic Silver Corp

First Majestic Silver Corp. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and production of mineral properties in North America. The company explores for silver and gold deposits. Its projects include the San Dimas silver/gold mine covering an area of approximately 71,867 hectares located in Durango State, Mexico; the Santa Elena silver/gold mine that covers an area of approximately 102,244 hectares located in Sonora State, Mexico; the Lo… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$21.24
Market Cap$10.44B
Float487.6M
Shares Outstanding492.9M
P/E (Forward)22.52
P/E (TTM)29.85
Price/Sales (TTM)6.36
vs. Analyst Target+16.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin21.18%
Operating Margin (TTM)47.79%
Revenue (TTM)$1.64B
Earnings Growth (YoY)102.40%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$24.75 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $367M $23.1M $105M $98.1M
2021 $587M -$4.9M $101M $156M
2022 $627M -$114M $16.8M $88.9M
2023 $576M -$135M $25.6M -$54.5M
2024 $561M -$102M $192M $118M
2025 $1.28B $168M $445M $698M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $287M $27.0M
Dec 2025 $471M $84.4M
Mar 2026 $470M $126M
Jun 2026 $415M $109M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.1%
Institutional Ownership53.1%
Short Float4.5%
% of All Funds Holding3.96%
Number of Funds Holding348

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$17.88Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$19.84Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.22Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$9.50Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$20.02Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.04Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$9.97Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$31.60 resistance 1.01x 4 months ago
$9.40 support 1.29x 10 months ago
$6.50 support 1.68x 13 months ago
$5.60 support 1.82x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (71 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% 0.12% 50.70% 7.70% -4.47%
1 Day -0.09% -0.49% 42.25% 14.80% -12.06%
1 Week -0.33% -0.95% 45.07% 29.18% -21.91%
2 Weeks -0.64% -1.35% 45.07% 23.71% -28.58%
1 Month 1.87% -1.18% 41.43% 45.47% -45.01%

Next earnings: October 18, 2026 (53 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.6%50.0%20
Feb3.2%45.0%20
Mar2.1%45.0%20
Apr0.7%30.0%20
May4.0%60.0%20
Jun2.4%40.0%20
Jul4.1%55.0%20
Aug-2.8%36.8%19
Sep-1.7%42.1%19
Oct1.0%68.4%19
Nov3.1%52.6%19
Dec7.0%65.0%20

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 45.5% 931
Tuesday 0.22% 50.0% 1019
Wednesday 0.24% 48.3% 1019
Thursday -0.11% 47.7% 1000
Friday 0.16% 47.9% 994

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 53.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.1%

Founder-led management: Keith Neumeyer (Chief Executive Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for First Majestic Silver Corp (AG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AG on Trend Edge →