AXIA — AXIA Energia

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AXIA Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 52, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability0 (no mans land)

Key signals behind this score

About AXIA Energia

AXIA Energia SA, through its subsidiaries, engages in the generation, transmission, distribution, and commercialization of electricity in Brazil. The company generates electricity through hydroelectric, wind farms, and solar power plants. It also owns hydroelectric plants with a total capacity of 43,072.7 MW; 798.7 MW wind power plants; and 67,030.74 km of transmission lines. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.11
Market Cap$23.34B
Float1.64B
Shares Outstanding1.98B
P/E (Forward)21.37
P/E (TTM)12.21
Price/Sales (TTM)0.54
Profit Margin21.89%
Operating Margin (TTM)43.52%
Revenue (TTM)$43.58B
Earnings Growth (YoY)1141.40%
Dividend Rate0.5%

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $25.40B $6.39B $22.09B $10.75B
2021 $34.63B $5.65B $30.46B $15.31B
2022 $34.07B $3.64B $29.24B $10.74B
2023 $37.16B $4.55B $31.63B $11.81B
2024 $40.18B $10.38B $34.23B $20.73B
2025 $41.28B $6.56B $36.25B $3.61B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $10.20B -$1.32B
Sep 2025 $10.00B -$5.45B
Dec 2025 $10.67B $13.69B
Mar 2026 $12.47B $2.58B

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership2.6%
Short Float0.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.09%
Number of Funds Holding172

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.53Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$10.89Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.10Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.14Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$10.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$9.07Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$8.24Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.10 support 1.31x 9 months ago
$7.00 support 1.16x 10 months ago
$5.50 support 1.33x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (63 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.17% 0.25% 50.79% 6.08% -4.73%
1 Day -0.56% -0.89% 36.51% 9.62% -8.76%
1 Week -2.26% -3.99% 36.51% 26.61% -32.74%
2 Weeks -0.42% -1.60% 39.68% 46.95% -23.97%
1 Month 0.73% -2.55% 38.10% 56.57% -32.02%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.4%61.1%18
Feb-0.5%61.1%18
Mar0.3%50.0%18
Apr3.8%55.6%18
May-6.2%33.3%18
Jun4.6%61.1%18
Jul5.5%47.1%17
Aug2.2%41.2%17
Sep-2.2%35.3%17
Oct6.0%52.9%17
Nov-2.9%41.2%17
Dec0.0%61.1%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.20% 48.0% 831
Tuesday 0.20% 49.8% 912
Wednesday 0.12% 48.6% 909
Thursday 0.00% 47.3% 891
Friday 0.15% 49.6% 887

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 2.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings29
Net Value-$479,177.25
Net Shares Change-10,058,119
% of Float-0.6%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Batista de Lima Filho Pedro -$39.4M 7 5 buy, 7 sell
Corso Matte Ana Silvia +$38,105 3 4 buy

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-04-08 – 2026-04-22 5 4 -$38.4M 2 C-suite
2026-05-26 – 2026-06-04 8 3 -$34.2M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-11 Corso Matte Ana Silvia +$22,390 Transaction at $11.20, now -9.7%
2026-07-06 Batista de Lima Filho Pedro -$4.5M Transaction at $10.25, now -1.4%
2026-06-02 Batista de Lima Filho Pedro -$10.2M Transaction at $10.61, now -4.7%
2026-05-20 Batista de Lima Filho Pedro -$7.3M Transaction at $10.89, now -7.2%
2026-06-04 Batista de Lima Filho Pedro -$3.5M Transaction at $10.25, now -1.4%
2026-05-12 Batista de Lima Filho Pedro -$3.2M Transaction at $11.88, now -14.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AXIA Energia (AXIA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AXIA on Trend Edge →