Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates AVB Bearish with a Setup Score of 48, net conviction 21, actionability 108. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
48
Directional Bias
Bearish
Net Conviction
21
Actionability
108 (in range)
Key signals behind this score
40wk Downtrend — trend only (sma 179 vs px 192)
Fresh Breakdown — 80wk turn 33w
80wk Downtrend — falling+below (sma 192 vs px 192)
200wk Downtrend — trend only (sma 190 vs px 192)
Funds Distributing — momZ +1.33 · 8.55→8.48
About AvalonBay Communities Inc
AvalonBay Communities, Inc. is committed to creating a better way to live. The Company, a member of the S&P 500, owns, develops, and manages approximately 90,000 apartment homes across the U.S., with a primary concentration in major coastal markets including Boston, the New York/New Jersey metro area, the Mid-Atlantic, Seattle, and Northern and Southern California, diversified by a targeted presence in the high-growth markets of North Carolina, S… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Real Estate
Industry: REIT-Residential
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: March 10, 1994
Headquarters: 4040 Wilson Boulevard, Suite 1000, Arlington, VA, United States, 22203-2120
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: No
Key Metrics
Current Price
$191.84
Market Cap
$26.88B
Float
130.3M
Shares Outstanding
141.9M
P/E (Forward)
41.84
P/E (TTM)
23.42
Price/Sales (TTM)
8.78
vs. Analyst Target
+2.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
37.27%
Operating Margin (TTM)
29.32%
Revenue (TTM)
$3.06B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
40.30%
Dividend Rate
7.1%
Analyst Target Price
$196.78 (24 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$2.30B
$828M
$1.48B
$1.75B
2021
$2.29B
$1.00B
$1.44B
$1.99B
2022
$2.59B
$1.14B
$1.67B
$2.20B
2023
$2.77B
$929M
$1.78B
$1.96B
2024
$2.91B
$1.08B
$1.84B
$2.16B
2025
$3.04B
$1.05B
$2.04B
$2.23B
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$760M
$269M
Sep 2025
$765M
$381M
Dec 2025
$768M
$166M
Mar 2026
$770M
$326M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
0.4%
Institutional Ownership
96.7%
Short Float
2.5%
% of All Funds Holding
8.48%
Number of Funds Holding
697
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$186.31
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$179.27
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$192.05
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$189.95
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$180.15
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$193.96
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$193.42
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for AvalonBay Communities Inc
(AVB) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit,
stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward.
Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup,
AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.