AVAH — Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc

Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc., a diversified home care platform company, provides pediatric and adult healthcare services in the United States. Its patient-centered care delivery platform allows patients to remain in their homes and minimizes the overutilization of high-cost care settings, such as hospitals or skilled nursing facilities. The company operates through three segments: Private Duty Services (PDS), Home Health & Hospice (HHH), and … Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.33
Market Cap$1.66B
Float79.6M
Shares Outstanding217.8M
P/E (Forward)10.66
P/E (TTM)6.29
Price/Sales (TTM)0.66
vs. Analyst Target+37.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.37%
Operating Margin (TTM)11.18%
Revenue (TTM)$2.52B
Earnings Growth (YoY)612.30%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$10.05 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.50B -$57.0M $455M $61.5M
2021 $1.68B -$117M $542M -$18.0M
2022 $1.79B -$662M $553M -$525M
2023 $1.90B -$135M $595M $39.2M
2024 $2.02B -$10.9M $636M $187M
2025 $2.43B $225M $805M $275M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $590M $27.0M
Sep 2025 $622M $14.1M
Dec 2025 $662M $179M
Mar 2026 $648M $41.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership5.8%
Institutional Ownership91.8%
Short Float3.7%
% of All Funds Holding2.20%
Number of Funds Holding181

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.71Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$8.02Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$6.47Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$7.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$6.40Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$4.38Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.90 support 3.86x 8 months ago
$2.70 support 1.86x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (21 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -2.53% -0.43% 42.86% 5.93% -20.04%
1 Day -1.28% 1.68% 61.90% 5.93% -26.72%
1 Week -0.05% -0.36% 47.62% 45.39% -39.89%
2 Weeks -0.20% -3.23% 45.00% 65.79% -42.12%
1 Month -4.13% -7.67% 30.00% 51.32% -45.83%

Next earnings: August 2, 2026 (67 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.18% 47.9% 236
Tuesday -0.19% 42.7% 262
Wednesday -0.30% 43.8% 260
Thursday 0.36% 44.9% 254
Friday 0.37% 48.2% 257

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 5.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings23
Net Value-$8.8M
Net Shares Change-36,016,708
% of Float-45.2%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected4

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
WILLIAMS ROBERT M JR -$104M 2 2 sell
VIGANO PAUL R -$104M 2 2 sell
J.H. Whitney Equity Partners VII, LLC -$86.4M 2 2 sell
Cunningham Patrick A. Chief Compliance Officer -$1.0M 2 2 sell
Stewart Deborah SVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$85,970.288 1 1 sell
Buckhalter Matthew Chief Financial Officer -$63,958.44 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-11 – 2025-06-13 6 6 -$11.9M 3 C-suite
2025-10-23 – 2025-10-28 6 3 -$293M
2026-01-02 – 2026-01-02 5 5 -$2.1M 5 C-suite
2026-02-19 – 2026-02-19 5 5 -$5.5M 5 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-21 Cunningham Patrick A. Chief Compliance Officer -$948,537.5 Transaction at $7.59, now -3.4%
2025-06-13 Cunningham Patrick A. Chief Compliance Officer -$91,173.55 Transaction at $4.93, now +48.7%
2025-06-11 Stewart Deborah SVP, Chief Accounting Officer -$85,970.288 Transaction at $5.56, now +31.8%
2025-06-11 Buckhalter Matthew Chief Financial Officer -$63,958.44 Transaction at $5.72, now +28.2%
2025-10-23 WILLIAMS ROBERT M JR -$90.0M Transaction at $9.00, now -18.6%
2025-10-23 VIGANO PAUL R -$90.0M Transaction at $9.00, now -18.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Aveanna Healthcare Holdings Inc (AVAH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVAH on Trend Edge →