AVA — Avista Corporation

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AVA Bearish with a Setup Score of 57, net conviction 47, actionability 70. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score57
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction47
Actionability70 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Avista Corporation

Avista Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an electric and natural gas utility company in the United States. It operates through two segments, Avista Utilities and Alaska Electric Light and Power Company (AEL&P). The Avista Utilities segment provides electric distribution and transmission, and natural gas distribution and transmission services in parts of eastern Washington and northern Idaho; and natural gas distribution ser… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$35.49
Market Cap$2.97B
Float83.0M
Shares Outstanding83.8M
P/E (Forward)13.04
P/E (TTM)12.81
Price/Sales (TTM)1.55
vs. Analyst Target+15.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)13.32%
Revenue (TTM)$1.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)147.90%
Dividend Rate2.0%
Analyst Target Price$41.00 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.32B $129M $923M $450M
2021 $1.44B $147M $942M $459M
2022 $1.71B $155M $974M $446M
2023 $1.75B $171M $1.05B $543M
2024 $1.94B $180M $1.14B $602M
2025 $1.96B $193M $475M $654M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $403M $29.0M
Dec 2025 $533M $71.0M
Mar 2026 $570M $92.0M
Jun 2026 $413M $35.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.9%
Institutional Ownership92.3%
Short Float5.2%
% of All Funds Holding4.70%
Number of Funds Holding413

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$36.96Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$40.01Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$39.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$38.25Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$39.37Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$39.16Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$37.61Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$37.30 resistance 1.05x 0 months ago
$39.70 resistance 1.05x 1 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% 0.00% 41.60% 5.20% -4.05%
1 Day -0.03% 0.00% 48.80% 5.80% -7.01%
1 Week -0.16% 0.39% 50.40% 11.05% -14.54%
2 Weeks -0.37% -0.37% 47.20% 12.92% -23.90%
1 Month -0.50% -0.31% 47.20% 24.34% -24.46%

Next earnings: November 4, 2026 (24 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.4%49.0%51
Feb-1.4%43.1%51
Mar2.2%62.7%51
Apr0.4%62.7%51
May-0.4%49.0%51
Jun0.9%64.7%51
Jul1.1%58.8%51
Aug-1.7%33.3%51
Sep-0.1%54.9%51
Oct0.6%56.0%50
Nov-0.7%40.0%50
Dec1.9%70.6%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.02% 44.4% 2402
Tuesday 0.01% 44.6% 2605
Wednesday -0.04% 44.5% 2606
Thursday 0.02% 44.1% 2556
Friday 0.11% 47.1% 2541

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.9%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings8
Net Value-$469,016.128
Net Shares Change-19,403
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings7
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Widmann Janet D. -$285,875.32 1 1 sell
DiLuciano Joshua D Vice President -$236,268.153 2 2 sell
Manuel Wayne O Senior Vice President -$134,427.58 2 2 sell
Cox Bryan Alden Senior Vice President -$71,040.185 1 1 sell
Alexander Alexis G. Vice President -$27,280.211 2 2 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-12-02 – 2025-12-16 4 4 -$422,386.46 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-09-02 DiLuciano Joshua D Vice President -$174,098.403 Transaction at $37.24, now -4.7%
2026-05-07 Manuel Wayne O Senior Vice President -$65,276.68 Transaction at $40.98, now -13.4%
2025-12-16 Manuel Wayne O Senior Vice President -$69,150.9 Transaction at $38.74, now -8.4%
2025-12-09 DiLuciano Joshua D Vice President -$62,169.75 Transaction at $41.45, now -14.4%
2026-02-26 Cox Bryan Alden Senior Vice President -$71,040.185 Transaction at $40.18, now -11.7%
2025-12-12 Widmann Janet D. -$285,875.32 Transaction at $38.63, now -8.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Avista Corporation (AVA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AVA on Trend Edge →