AES — The AES Corporation

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About The AES Corporation

The AES Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a power generation and utility company. It operates through four segments: Renewables, Utilities, Energy Infrastructure, and New Energy Technologies. The company owns and/or operates power plants to generate and sell power to customers, such as utilities, industrial users, and other intermediaries; owns and/or operates utilities to generate or purchase, distribute, transmit, and sel… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$14.67
Market Cap$10.48B
Float708.5M
Shares Outstanding713.2M
P/E (Forward)6.39
P/E (TTM)7.65
Price/Sales (TTM)0.84
vs. Analyst Target+3.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin10.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.74%
Revenue (TTM)$12.49B
Earnings Growth (YoY)951.10%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$15.11 (15 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $9.66B $43.0M $2.69B $2.53B
2021 $11.14B -$413M $2.71B $818M
2022 $12.62B -$546M $2.55B $1.94B
2023 $12.68B $242M $2.52B $2.53B
2024 $12.28B $1.69B $2.32B $3.67B
2025 $12.23B $949M $2.21B $2.94B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $2.85B -$105M
Sep 2025 $3.35B $634M
Dec 2025 $3.10B $322M
Mar 2026 $3.18B $487M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.6%
Institutional Ownership91.8%
Short Float2.7%
% of All Funds Holding8.46%
Number of Funds Holding695

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$14.41Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$14.33Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$13.07Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$17.54Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$14.41Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$13.26Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$16.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$10.60 support 1.24x 9 months ago
$19.90 resistance 1.10x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.15% 0.23% 54.10% 7.45% -6.68%
1 Day 0.45% 0.24% 53.28% 18.18% -14.06%
1 Week 0.77% 0.22% 52.46% 54.69% -26.58%
2 Weeks 0.52% 0.27% 53.28% 55.47% -64.32%
1 Month 2.28% 2.01% 54.55% 77.40% -25.00%

Next earnings: May 7, 2026

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-1.6%42.9%35
Feb-0.9%54.3%35
Mar2.9%51.4%35
Apr2.9%54.3%35
May1.3%47.1%34
Jun0.5%55.9%34
Jul0.1%51.4%35
Aug0.1%45.7%35
Sep0.2%57.1%35
Oct0.7%57.1%35
Nov2.5%57.1%35
Dec6.7%65.7%35

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 48.8% 1655
Tuesday -0.02% 47.9% 1805
Wednesday -0.01% 48.6% 1801
Thursday 0.10% 49.9% 1768
Friday 0.24% 52.2% 1760

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change0
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
AES CORP -$211M 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-18 AES CORP -$211M Transaction at $21.00, now -30.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for The AES Corporation (AES) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AES on Trend Edge →