ASTH — Astrana Health Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Astrana Health Inc

Astrana Health, Inc., a healthcare management company, provides medical care services in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Care Partners, Care Delivery, and Care Enablement. The company offers care coordination services to patients, families, primary care physicians, specialists, acute care hospitals, alternative sites of inpatient care, physician groups, and health plans. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$38.52
Market Cap$1.85B
Float37.6M
Shares Outstanding49.6M
P/E (Forward)23.04
P/E (TTM)61.28
Price/Sales (TTM)0.53
vs. Analyst Target+15.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.86%
Operating Margin (TTM)3.02%
Revenue (TTM)$3.53B
Earnings Growth (YoY)110.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$44.56 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $370M -$23.8M $21.7M $29.7M
2021 $774M $68.9M $178M $101M
2022 $1.14B $45.2M $199M $112M
2023 $1.39B $60.7M $215M $124M
2024 $2.03B $43.1M $271M $142M
2025 $3.18B $22.5M $296M $124M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $655M $9.4M
Sep 2025 $956M $373,000
Dec 2025 $951M $6.0M
Mar 2026 $965M $14.4M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership22.8%
Institutional Ownership61.5%
Short Float7.6%
% of All Funds Holding1.87%
Number of Funds Holding154

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$33.09Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$27.64Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$29.15Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$34.88Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$27.96Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$30.31Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$34.59Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$43.00 resistance 1.30x 16 months ago
$54.00 resistance 1.61x 17 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (62 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.23% 0.00% 32.26% 19.44% -21.95%
1 Day -0.47% 0.00% 29.03% 20.40% -26.82%
1 Week 0.46% 0.00% 43.55% 51.86% -35.46%
2 Weeks 2.42% -1.41% 40.32% 200.00% -40.00%
1 Month 5.95% -4.83% 39.34% 235.68% -36.57%

Next earnings: July 26, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.1%47.1%17
Feb0.7%35.3%17
Mar2.4%58.8%17
Apr7.2%50.0%18
May1.4%41.2%17
Jun4.3%41.2%17
Jul13.6%41.2%17
Aug10.4%47.1%17
Sep5.3%47.1%17
Oct6.1%35.3%17
Nov-5.0%41.2%17
Dec31.6%58.8%17

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.80% 31.7% 811
Tuesday 0.32% 33.7% 891
Wednesday 1.72% 35.2% 887
Thursday 2.60% 32.5% 872
Friday 0.40% 32.2% 867

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 61.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 22.8%

Founder-led management: Kenneth Sim (Co-Founder & Executive Chairman), Thomas Lam (Co-Founder & Vice Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-5,214
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Kitayama Mitchell W -$253,859.22 1 1 sell
Schmidt David -$191,200 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2025-09-15 Kitayama Mitchell W -$253,859.22 Transaction at $24.21, now +59.1%
2025-09-03 Schmidt David -$191,200 Transaction at $22.98, now +67.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Astrana Health Inc (ASTH) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ASTH on Trend Edge →