ASO — Academy Sports Outdoors Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Academy Sports Outdoors Inc

Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as a sporting goods and outdoor recreational retailer in the United States. The company's outdoors division comprises camping products, such as coolers and drinkware, camping accessories and equipment, and watersports and equipment; fishing products, including marine equipment and fishing rods, reels, and baits and equipment; and hunting products, which includes firearms, ammun… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$54.53
Market Cap$3.26B
Float63.4M
Shares Outstanding64.5M
P/E (Forward)8.18
P/E (TTM)9.13
Price/Sales (TTM)0.54
vs. Analyst Target+12.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin6.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)9.01%
Revenue (TTM)$6.05B
Earnings Growth (YoY)4.50%
Dividend Rate0.6%
Analyst Target Price$61.42 (20 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $5.69B $309M $1.73B $535M
2022 $6.77B $671M $2.35B $1.00B
2023 $6.40B $628M $2.21B $972M
2024 $6.16B $519M $2.11B $820M
2025 $5.93B $418M $2.01B $693M
2026 $6.05B $377M $2.11B $635M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $1.35B $46.1M
Jul 2025 $1.60B $125M
Oct 2025 $1.38B $71.6M
Jan 2026 $1.72B $134M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.4%
Institutional Ownership115.6%
Short Float12.0%
% of All Funds Holding4.03%
Number of Funds Holding331

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$54.86Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$53.08Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$50.68Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$53.25Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$53.06Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$50.50Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$54.16Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$41.00 support 1.07x 10 months ago
$74.00 resistance 1.17x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% -0.05% 39.13% 3.22% -4.09%
1 Day 0.57% 0.48% 56.52% 8.45% -9.34%
1 Week 1.03% 1.30% 60.87% 13.31% -17.95%
2 Weeks 1.60% 1.36% 56.52% 20.03% -20.71%
1 Month 4.19% 4.16% 52.17% 29.05% -20.69%

Next earnings: June 9, 2026 (13 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.19% 51.1% 264
Tuesday 0.20% 49.1% 293
Wednesday 0.25% 50.9% 291
Thursday -0.02% 47.7% 283
Friday 0.09% 48.9% 284

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 115.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.4%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-28,971
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
MARLEY BRIAN T -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Tweedy Jeffrey C. -$240,000 1 1 sell
Turner Christopher Lee -$195,712 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-17 Tweedy Jeffrey C. -$240,000 Transaction at $60.00, now -9.1%
2025-12-15 MARLEY BRIAN T -$1.1M Transaction at $55.26, now -1.3%
2025-06-26 Turner Christopher Lee -$195,712 Transaction at $44.48, now +22.6%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Academy Sports Outdoors Inc (ASO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ASO on Trend Edge →