ARKO — Arko Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ARKO Bearish with a Setup Score of 12, net conviction 37, actionability 4. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score12
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction37
Actionability4 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Arko Corp

Arko Corp., through its subsidiary, operates a chain of convenience stores in the United States. It operates through four segments Retail, Wholesale, Fleet Fueling, and GPMP segments. The Retail segment engages in the operation of retail stores that sells fuel and merchandise, as well as cold and hot prepared foods, beverages, cigarettes and other tobacco products, candy, salty snacks, grocery, beer and general merchandise to retail consumers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.67
Market Cap$515M
Float56.0M
Shares Outstanding112.2M
P/E (TTM)57.38
Price/Sales (TTM)0.07
vs. Analyst Target+92.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin0.22%
Operating Margin (TTM)1.62%
Revenue (TTM)$6.89B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-75.00%
Dividend Rate0.1%
Analyst Target Price$9.00 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.01B $13.7M $258M $156M
2021 $7.42B $59.2M $367M $242M
2022 $9.14B $71.7M $419M $272M
2023 $9.41B $34.4M $424M $266M
2024 $8.73B $20.8M $397M $257M
2025 $7.64B $22.7M $396M $256M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $2.02B $13.5M
Dec 2025 $1.79B $1.9M
Mar 2026 $1.77B -$6.6M
Jun 2026 $2.35B $6.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership29.8%
Institutional Ownership70.0%
Short Float11.0%
% of All Funds Holding1.73%
Number of Funds Holding152

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$6.76Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.20Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.36Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$6.54Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.17Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.39Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$6.15Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$8.00 resistance 1.43x 0 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (28 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.15% 0.29% 50.00% 11.35% -17.36%
1 Day -2.24% -0.55% 42.86% 17.76% -37.74%
1 Week -1.32% -0.08% 50.00% 32.01% -44.49%
2 Weeks -1.71% 0.51% 53.57% 31.54% -47.25%
1 Month 1.51% 0.78% 55.56% 42.99% -45.59%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.9%57.1%7
Feb-4.7%57.1%7
Mar-3.1%42.9%7
Apr0.5%71.4%7
May6.8%57.1%7
Jun-0.2%57.1%7
Jul1.2%42.9%7
Aug4.8%42.9%7
Sep-1.0%14.3%7
Oct0.1%42.9%7
Nov0.9%57.1%7
Dec-3.9%28.6%7

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 46.1% 334
Tuesday -0.15% 45.7% 368
Wednesday 0.15% 42.7% 365
Thursday 0.02% 46.9% 358
Friday 0.05% 45.8% 356

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 70.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 29.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value-$77,586
Net Shares Change5,000
% of Float0.0%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Bricks Maury General Counsel/Secretary -$280,350 2 N/A
Jeff Charles Galagher Chief Financial Officer, EVP +$202,764 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-18 Jeff Charles Galagher Chief Financial Officer, EVP +$202,764 Transaction at $5.07, now -7.9%
2026-06-11 Bricks Maury General Counsel/Secretary -$165,000 Transaction at $8.25, now -43.4%
2026-06-08 Bricks Maury General Counsel/Secretary -$115,350 Transaction at $7.69, now -39.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arko Corp (ARKO) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ARKO on Trend Edge →