APG — Api Group Corp

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Api Group Corp

APi Group Corporation provides fire and life safety, security, elevator and escalator, and specialty services worldwide. It operates in two segments, Safety Services and Specialty Services. The company offers fire protection solutions; electronic security systems; and elevators and escalators, including the design, installation, inspection, service, and monitoring of life safety systems to high tech services, advanced manufacturing, healthcare, f… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$41.58
Market Cap$18.21B
Float353.0M
Shares Outstanding433.2M
P/E (Forward)19.84
Price/Sales (TTM)2.23
vs. Analyst Target+27.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.96%
Operating Margin (TTM)7.27%
Revenue (TTM)$8.17B
Earnings Growth (YoY)68.80%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$53.20 (10 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $3.59B -$153M $756M $131M
2021 $3.94B $47.0M $939M $341M
2022 $6.56B $73.0M $1.71B $522M
2023 $6.93B $153M $1.94B $680M
2024 $7.02B $250M $2.18B $778M
2025 $7.91B $302M $2.49B $881M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.99B $77.0M
Sep 2025 $2.08B $93.0M
Dec 2025 $2.12B $97.0M
Mar 2026 $1.98B $57.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership12.2%
Institutional Ownership83.7%
Short Float2.1%
% of All Funds Holding6.45%
Number of Funds Holding530

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$43.81Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$40.02Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$34.12Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$24.77Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$39.85Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$33.62Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$27.08Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$33.70 support 1.08x 9 months ago
$31.00 support 2.12x 10 months ago
$27.10 support 1.49x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (25 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.37% 0.02% 52.00% 5.17% -2.37%
1 Day 0.75% 1.11% 64.00% 4.99% -7.17%
1 Week 1.42% 1.98% 64.00% 12.14% -11.91%
2 Weeks 2.71% 3.60% 68.00% 16.05% -10.63%
1 Month 4.02% 4.16% 62.50% 18.35% -11.10%

Next earnings: July 19, 2026 (52 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.18% 54.9% 284
Tuesday 0.25% 51.9% 316
Wednesday 0.03% 49.5% 313
Thursday 0.10% 53.9% 306
Friday 0.13% 53.9% 306

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 83.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 12.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value-$3.6M
Net Shares Change-8,012,591
% of Float-2.3%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
FRANKLIN MARTIN E -$164M 2 1 sell
ASHKEN IAN G H -$61.6M 2 N/A
LILLIE JAMES E -$31.9M 2 N/A
Lambert Louis SVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$2.4M 1 1 sell
JACKOLA GLENN DAVID EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$1.1M 1 1 sell
MALKIN ANTHONY E +$275,720.2 1 1 buy
ARSENIADIS JAMES VP and Chief Accounting Officer -$171,345.34 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-05 – 2025-08-13 3 3 -$20.7M 1 C-suite
2026-02-26 – 2026-03-04 4 4 -$32.1M 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-03 JACKOLA GLENN DAVID EVP and Chief Financial Officer -$1.1M Transaction at $44.34, now -6.2%
2026-03-19 FRANKLIN MARTIN E -$123M Transaction at $40.88, now +1.7%
2026-01-09 MALKIN ANTHONY E +$275,720.2 Transaction at $39.39, now +5.6%
2026-02-26 Lambert Louis SVP, Gen Counsel and Secretary -$2.4M Transaction at $44.85, now -7.3%
2025-08-05 ARSENIADIS JAMES VP and Chief Accounting Officer -$171,345.34 Transaction at $35.38, now +17.5%
2026-05-06 ASHKEN IAN G H -$48.5M Transaction at $44.78, now -7.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Api Group Corp (APG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for APG on Trend Edge →