AMRC — Ameresco Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AMRC Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 17, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction17
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ameresco Inc

Ameresco, Inc. engages in the provision of energy solutions in the United States, Canada, and Europe. The company operates through North America Regions, U.S. Federal, Renewable Fuels, Europe, and All Other segments. It offers energy efficiency, infrastructure upgrades, energy security and resilience, asset sustainability, and renewable energy solutions for businesses and organizations. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$22.07
Market Cap$1.18B
Float32.1M
Shares Outstanding35.1M
P/E (Forward)20.28
P/E (TTM)48.24
Price/Sales (TTM)0.58
vs. Analyst Target+97.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin1.40%
Operating Margin (TTM)8.49%
Revenue (TTM)$2.02B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-25.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$43.50 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.03B $54.1M $188M $117M
2021 $1.22B $70.5M $230M $142M
2022 $1.82B $94.9M $291M $191M
2023 $1.37B $62.5M $246M $150M
2024 $1.77B $56.8M $256M $195M
2025 $1.93B $44.3M $304M $237M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $526M $18.5M
Dec 2025 $581M $18.4M
Mar 2026 $401M -$18.3M
Jun 2026 $515M $9.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership8.8%
Institutional Ownership105.7%
Short Float14.0%
% of All Funds Holding2.10%
Number of Funds Holding185

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$24.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$28.49Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$24.77Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$31.98Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$28.76Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$24.46Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$28.58Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$35.30 resistance 1.11x 1 months ago
$16.50 support 1.29x 11 months ago
$10.90 support 1.23x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (65 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.70% 0.73% 58.46% 40.48% -19.02%
1 Day 0.92% -0.06% 47.69% 48.98% -35.62%
1 Week 0.85% 1.40% 52.31% 26.12% -39.50%
2 Weeks 1.67% 1.56% 58.46% 42.13% -42.50%
1 Month 4.41% 5.78% 59.38% 55.27% -34.42%

Next earnings: October 22, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan-3.9%56.3%16
Feb-2.7%50.0%16
Mar3.4%43.8%16
Apr-5.7%25.0%16
May11.0%81.3%16
Jun2.4%68.8%16
Jul3.4%62.5%16
Aug4.5%56.3%16
Sep2.4%43.8%16
Oct3.9%56.3%16
Nov3.0%56.3%16
Dec-1.5%50.0%16

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.04% 49.1% 759
Tuesday 0.35% 50.2% 832
Wednesday -0.03% 44.9% 829
Thursday 0.10% 50.2% 814
Friday -0.05% 48.4% 812

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 105.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 8.8%

Founder-led management: George Sakellaris (Chairman of the Board, President and Chief Executive Officer)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings19
Net Value-$1.1M
Net Shares Change47,520
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings11
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Cox Brian C +$995,279 1 1 buy
WISNESKI FRANCIS V JR -$396,500 2 2 sell
Miller Jennifer L -$275,315 1 N/A
Sakellaris George P Chief Executive Officer +$180,919.9 1 1 buy
STAVROPOULOS NICKOLAS -$23,942.85 1 N/A
Maltezos Louis P President-Central&West USA Can -$7,744.86 1 N/A
Chiplock Mark EVP, CFO & CAO -$6,909.63 1 N/A
Corrsin David J EVP and General Counsel -$1,797.89 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-10 – 2026-03-12 4 3 -$16,452.38 4 C-suite
2026-05-18 – 2026-05-20 3 3 -$544,157.85

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-11 Sakellaris George P Chief Executive Officer +$180,919.9 Transaction at $25.85, now -14.6%
2026-08-11 Cox Brian C +$995,279 Transaction at $25.07, now -12.0%
2026-06-02 WISNESKI FRANCIS V JR -$151,600 Transaction at $20.96, now +5.3%
2026-05-20 WISNESKI FRANCIS V JR -$244,900 Transaction at $18.04, now +22.3%
2026-05-19 Miller Jennifer L -$275,315 Transaction at $18.51, now +19.3%
2026-05-18 STAVROPOULOS NICKOLAS -$23,942.85 Transaction at $25.16, now -12.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ameresco Inc (AMRC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AMRC on Trend Edge →