AGX — Argan Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Argan Inc

Argan, Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides engineering, procurement, construction, commissioning, maintenance, project development, and technical consulting services to the power generation market in the United States, Republic of Ireland, and the United Kingdom. It operates through three segments: Power, Industrial, and Teledata. Its Power segment offers engineering, procurement, and construction, as well as designing, building, and commiss… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$673.51
Market Cap$9.00B
Float13.4M
Shares Outstanding14.0M
P/E (Forward)16.61
P/E (TTM)66.25
Price/Sales (TTM)9.53
vs. Analyst Target-29.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin14.59%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.19%
Revenue (TTM)$945M
Earnings Growth (YoY)55.80%
Dividend Rate2.0%
Analyst Target Price$473.20 (2 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $392M $23.9M $62.1M $27.6M
2022 $509M $38.2M $99.7M $56.6M
2023 $455M $33.1M $86.4M $45.4M
2024 $573M $32.4M $80.8M $38.9M
2025 $874M $85.5M $141M $93.9M
2026 $945M $138M $194M $137M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Apr 2025 $194M $22.6M
Jul 2025 $238M $35.3M
Oct 2025 $251M $30.7M
Jan 2026 $262M $49.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.2%
Institutional Ownership101.7%
Short Float5.9%
% of All Funds Holding5.50%
Number of Funds Holding452

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$643.12Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$411.04Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$291.87Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$148.60Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$419.95Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$292.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$173.05Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$436.00 support 1.60x 1 months ago
$220.00 support 1.08x 7 months ago
$217.00 support 1.17x 9 months ago
$158.00 support 1.05x 11 months ago
$132.00 support 1.27x 12 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (74 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.85% 0.17% 56.76% 24.81% -16.72%
1 Day 0.40% -0.14% 47.30% 37.91% -23.22%
1 Week -0.47% -0.97% 36.49% 39.30% -27.22%
2 Weeks 0.52% -0.50% 44.59% 45.66% -19.91%
1 Month 2.24% -0.25% 47.30% 53.36% -21.65%

Next earnings: June 3, 2026 (5 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.4%45.2%31
Feb0.3%45.2%31
Mar2.0%61.3%31
Apr2.9%51.6%31
May3.5%43.3%30
Jun2.5%53.3%30
Jul-0.9%46.7%30
Aug3.8%53.3%30
Sep2.1%48.4%31
Oct178.6%45.2%31
Nov3.4%61.3%31
Dec3.2%58.1%31

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.08% 35.9% 1455
Tuesday 0.14% 36.0% 1591
Wednesday 0.17% 38.1% 1588
Thursday 0.20% 37.7% 1556
Friday 2.27% 36.2% 1551

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 101.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings48
Net Value-$37.9M
Net Shares Change-183,609
% of Float-1.4%
C-Suite Filings14
Clusters Detected7

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Watson David Hibbert PRESIDENT AND CEO -$11.6M 1 1 sell
Leimkuhler William F. -$8.6M 2 3 sell
Collins Charles Edwin IV CHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, GEMMA -$7.9M 1 1 sell
Jeffrey John Ronald Jr. -$6.3M 3 3 sell
Getsinger Peter W -$3.1M 2 2 sell
Larroque Alexander Lisa -$220,703 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-06-11 – 2025-06-17 7 7 -$18.9M 2 C-suite
2025-07-30 – 2025-08-01 4 4 -$3.0M 2 C-suite
2025-09-17 – 2025-10-01 9 6 -$16.1M 2 C-suite
2025-10-03 – 2025-10-17 5 3 -$11.8M 4 C-suite
2026-01-14 – 2026-01-23 4 3 -$14.2M
2026-04-02 – 2026-04-15 3 3 -$8.7M
2026-04-20 – 2026-04-30 8 7 -$29.4M 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-29 Leimkuhler William F. -$3.6M Transaction at $618.64, now +8.9%
2026-04-30 Getsinger Peter W -$1.9M Transaction at $628.36, now +7.2%
2026-04-29 Jeffrey John Ronald Jr. -$1.8M Transaction at $664.84, now +1.3%
2026-04-20 Watson David Hibbert PRESIDENT AND CEO -$11.6M Transaction at $602.11, now +11.9%
2026-04-15 Leimkuhler William F. -$5.1M Transaction at $598.49, now +12.5%
2026-04-22 Jeffrey John Ronald Jr. -$2.1M Transaction at $326.26, now +106.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Argan Inc (AGX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AGX on Trend Edge →