AESI — Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.

Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. produces proppants and provides logistics and distributed power solutions in the Permian Basin of West Texas and New Mexico. It operates through two segments: Sand and Logistics, and Power. The Sand and Logistics segment operates fourteen proppant production facilities, including large-scale in-basin plants and a distributed mining network. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$19.33
Market Cap$2.43B
Float85.5M
Shares Outstanding124.9M
P/E (Forward)21.69
Price/Sales (TTM)2.29
vs. Analyst Target-1.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-9.29%
Operating Margin (TTM)-13.43%
Revenue (TTM)$1.06B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-96.20%
Dividend Rate1.0%
Analyst Target Price$19.00 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $112M -$34.4M $17.8M $20.3M
2021 $172M $4.3M $64.1M $71.9M
2022 $483M $217M $256M $263M
2023 $614M $160M $314M $307M
2024 $1.06B $59.9M $232M $229M
2025 $1.10B -$50.3M $151M $179M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $289M -$5.6M
Sep 2025 $260M -$23.7M
Dec 2025 $249M -$22.2M
Mar 2026 $266M -$47.3M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership34.4%
Institutional Ownership74.0%
Short Float18.9%
% of All Funds Holding2.69%
Number of Funds Holding221

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$15.94Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.12Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.63Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$12.46Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.11Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$12.90 support 2.43x 0 months ago
$17.30 support 1.18x 0 months ago
$9.90 support 1.45x 1 months ago
$22.70 resistance 1.41x 14 months ago
$24.40 resistance 2.10x 22 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (13 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.44% 1.26% 61.54% 5.16% -14.23%
1 Day -1.81% -0.63% 38.46% 8.35% -15.89%
1 Week -3.31% -4.60% 38.46% 7.72% -19.53%
2 Weeks -0.70% 4.05% 53.85% 12.73% -28.46%
1 Month 3.70% 3.17% 53.85% 57.54% -21.51%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (57 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.29% 53.9% 152
Tuesday 0.15% 53.6% 166
Wednesday -0.17% 43.9% 164
Thursday 0.05% 50.9% 159
Friday 0.00% 52.1% 163

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 74.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 34.4%

Founder-led management: Bud Brigham (Founder & Executive Chairman)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings4
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-230,215
% of Float-0.3%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
SHEPARD GREGORY M -$2.7M 1 1 sell
Scholla Chris -$564,999.832 2 2 sell
Rogers Douglas G +$92,862 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-06 Rogers Douglas G +$92,862 Transaction at $13.27, now +45.7%
2026-03-06 Scholla Chris -$105,036.832 Transaction at $11.79, now +64.0%
2025-12-29 Scholla Chris -$459,963 Transaction at $8.82, now +119.2%
2026-02-19 SHEPARD GREGORY M -$2.7M Transaction at $11.88, now +62.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Atlas Energy Solutions Inc. (AESI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AESI on Trend Edge →