ADCT — ADC Therapeutics SA

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About ADC Therapeutics SA

ADC Therapeutics SA provides antibody drug conjugate (ADC) technology platform in Switzerland and the United States. Its flagship product includes ZYNLONTA, a CD19-directed ADC, received accelerated approval from the U.S. Food and Drug Administration, conditional approval from the European Commission, and conditional approval from the China National Medical Products Administration for the treatment of relapsed or refractory diffuse large B-cell l… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$3.43
Market Cap$412M
Float100.4M
Shares Outstanding127.2M
Price/Sales (TTM)5.20
vs. Analyst Target+139.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-173.02%
Operating Margin (TTM)-121.07%
Revenue (TTM)$79.2M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$8.20 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 N/A -$246M -$142M -$218M
2021 $33.9M -$230M $32.5M -$231M
2022 $210M -$157M $207M -$108M
2023 $69.6M -$240M $67.0M -$146M
2024 $70.8M -$158M $64.9M -$103M
2025 $81.4M -$143M $73.7M -$107M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $18.8M -$56.6M
Sep 2025 $16.4M -$41.0M
Dec 2025 $23.1M -$6.4M
Mar 2026 $20.9M -$33.0M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership13.2%
Institutional Ownership67.4%
Short Float5.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.31%
Number of Funds Holding108

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$3.68Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$3.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$3.11Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$3.80Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.00Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$2.79Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$3.10 support 1.21x 7 months ago
$1.50 support 1.20x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (25 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.95% 1.21% 76.00% 6.67% -3.38%
1 Day 0.00% 1.02% 52.00% 10.60% -17.24%
1 Week -0.24% -1.16% 44.00% 23.20% -24.72%
2 Weeks -1.06% -3.52% 44.00% 70.72% -32.78%
1 Month 3.08% -5.05% 37.50% 118.62% -45.83%

Next earnings: July 23, 2026 (56 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 44.1% 281
Tuesday -0.39% 41.7% 314
Wednesday -0.12% 44.7% 311
Thursday 0.25% 47.9% 303
Friday 0.41% 44.6% 303

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 67.4%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 13.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings1
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-5,880,415
% of Float-5.9%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Redmile Group, LLC -$19.6M 1 2 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-04-02 Redmile Group, LLC -$19.6M Transaction at $3.34, now +2.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ADC Therapeutics SA (ADCT) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ADCT on Trend Edge →