ACVA — ACV Auctions Inc.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ACVA Bearish with a Setup Score of 38, net conviction 28, actionability 52. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score38
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction28
Actionability52 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About ACV Auctions Inc.

ACV Auctions Inc. provides a wholesale auction marketplace to facilitate business-to-business used vehicle sales between a selling and buying dealership. The company offers marketplace platform includes digital marketplace that connects buyers and sellers by providing auctions, which facilitates real-time transactions of wholesale vehicles; Run List for pre-filtering and pre-screening of vehicles up to 24 hours prior to an auction taking place; A… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$7.28
Market Cap$1.34B
Float153.9M
Shares Outstanding174.6M
P/E (Forward)39.37
Price/Sales (TTM)1.63
vs. Analyst Target+34.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-7.88%
Operating Margin (TTM)-2.83%
Revenue (TTM)$801M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$9.77 (14 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $208M -$41.0M $95.3M -$32.6M
2021 $358M -$78.2M $154M -$67.9M
2022 $422M -$102M $185M -$89.7M
2023 $481M -$75.3M $237M -$53.9M
2024 $637M -$79.7M $389M -$38.0M
2025 $760M -$66.1M $471M -$11.5M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $200M -$24.5M
Dec 2025 $184M -$19.6M
Mar 2026 $204M -$10.9M
Jun 2026 $214M -$8.2M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership4.7%
Institutional Ownership98.6%
Short Float10.2%
% of All Funds Holding2.90%
Number of Funds Holding255

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$7.40Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$6.69Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$9.90Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.51Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$6.65Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.50Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$13.96Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$5.30 support 1.25x 2 months ago
$7.70 resistance 1.49x 5 months ago
$9.00 resistance 2.33x 8 months ago
$11.40 resistance 1.53x 10 months ago
$13.90 resistance 1.49x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (23 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.68% 2.20% 60.87% 18.28% -27.85%
1 Day 2.80% 0.87% 56.52% 24.77% -37.55%
1 Week 5.13% 7.77% 65.22% 29.73% -23.86%
2 Weeks 3.71% 7.85% 69.57% 28.57% -31.38%
1 Month 5.10% 5.32% 63.64% 34.21% -25.86%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 49.6% 254
Tuesday -0.08% 49.8% 281
Wednesday -0.08% 46.6% 279
Thursday 0.31% 51.6% 273
Friday -0.24% 49.1% 273

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 98.6%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 4.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings13
Net Value+$1.6M
Net Shares Change1,314,201
% of Float0.9%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
GOODMAN ROBERT P +$5.1M 1 1 buy
Waterman Michael Chief Sales Officer +$1.0M 1 1 buy
Chamoun George Chief Executive Officer +$620,185.7 4 N/A
Hirsch Brian +$500,345.91 1 1 buy
Castillo Kirsten +$125,250 1 1 buy
Peer Andrew VP, Corporate Controller & CAO -$21,000 2 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-12 – 2025-11-18 3 3 +$5.7M

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-02 Waterman Michael Chief Sales Officer +$1.0M Transaction at $4.66, now +56.2%
2025-11-12 GOODMAN ROBERT P +$5.1M Transaction at $5.61, now +29.8%
2025-11-18 Castillo Kirsten +$125,250 Transaction at $6.26, now +16.2%
2025-11-14 Hirsch Brian +$500,345.91 Transaction at $6.21, now +17.2%
2026-03-11 Chamoun George Chief Executive Officer +$122,573.6 Transaction at $5.05, now +44.2%
2026-02-10 Chamoun George Chief Executive Officer +$123,311.6 Transaction at $7.30, now -0.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ACV Auctions Inc. (ACVA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ACVA on Trend Edge →