ACHC — Acadia Healthcare Company Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Acadia Healthcare Company Inc

Acadia Healthcare Company, Inc. provides behavioral healthcare services in the United States and Puerto Rico. The company owns and operates acute inpatient psychiatric facilities; specialty treatment facilities comprising residential recovery facilities and eating disorder facilities; comprehensive treatment centers; and residential treatment centers, as well as facilities providing outpatient behavioral healthcare services for the behavioral hea… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$24.09
Market Cap$2.12B
Float85.1M
Shares Outstanding92.0M
P/E (Forward)16.05
Price/Sales (TTM)0.63
vs. Analyst Target+17.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-32.84%
Operating Margin (TTM)10.12%
Revenue (TTM)$3.37B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-49.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$28.25 (14 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.09B -$672M $2.00B $437M
2021 $2.31B $191M $2.22B $459M
2022 $2.61B $273M $2.51B $562M
2023 $2.93B -$21.7M $683M $189M
2024 $3.15B $256M $712M $608M
2025 $3.31B -$1.10B $583M -$738M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $869M $30.1M
Sep 2025 $852M $36.2M
Dec 2025 $821M -$1.18B
Mar 2026 $829M $4.1M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.5%
Institutional Ownership145.9%
Short Float28.0%
% of All Funds Holding3.36%
Number of Funds Holding276

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$25.33Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$20.65Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$25.46Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$54.86Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$21.09Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$26.49Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$50.33Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$13.40 support 1.43x 2 months ago
$30.40 resistance 1.91x 12 months ago
$44.00 resistance 1.02x 14 months ago
$62.00 resistance 2.19x 18 months ago
$78.00 resistance 1.65x 19 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (73 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.34% 0.48% 54.79% 16.05% -26.88%
1 Day 0.32% -0.52% 47.95% 23.02% -25.93%
1 Week 0.42% 1.61% 52.05% 32.13% -34.86%
2 Weeks 0.16% 1.47% 53.42% 44.20% -33.95%
1 Month 0.59% 1.78% 52.78% 45.89% -41.62%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan15.1%62.5%32
Feb2.6%53.1%32
Mar-1.0%50.0%32
Apr5.0%45.5%33
May3.0%53.1%32
Jun3.5%56.3%32
Jul-0.3%40.6%32
Aug-0.4%50.0%32
Sep-2.7%37.5%32
Oct-3.4%37.5%32
Nov-1.5%46.9%32
Dec0.4%53.1%32

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.15% 41.7% 1524
Tuesday 0.01% 41.3% 1666
Wednesday 0.13% 42.0% 1663
Thursday 0.08% 41.0% 1631
Friday 0.46% 44.7% 1625

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 145.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Acadia Healthcare Company Inc (ACHC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ACHC on Trend Edge →