ACDC — ProFrac Holding Corp.

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ACDC Bearish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 25, actionability 60. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction25
Actionability60 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About ProFrac Holding Corp.

ProFrac Holding Corp. operates as a technology-focused energy services holding company in the United States. It operates through four segments: Stimulation Services, Proppant Production, Manufacturing, and and Flotek Industries, Inc. The company offers hydraulic fracturing, proppant production, well stimulation, in-basin frac sand, and other completion services and complementary products and services to upstream oil and natural gas companies enga… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$4.82
Market Cap$809M
Float34.6M
Shares Outstanding182.1M
P/E (Forward)16.16
Price/Sales (TTM)0.45
vs. Analyst Target-0.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-22.75%
Operating Margin (TTM)-6.18%
Revenue (TTM)$1.79B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-99.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$4.79 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $548M -$2.2M -$30.0M $56.0M
2021 $768M -$148M $57.6M $123M
2022 $2.43B $91.5M $702M $679M
2023 $2.63B -$97.7M $452M $535M
2024 $2.19B -$215M $254M $384M
2025 $1.94B -$369M $70.9M $187M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $403M -$101M
Dec 2025 $437M -$143M
Mar 2026 $450M -$83.5M
Jun 2026 $498M -$79.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership84.2%
Institutional Ownership18.0%
Short Float12.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.65%
Number of Funds Holding145

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$4.83Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$5.42Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$5.63Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$8.91Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$5.21Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$5.73Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$7.30Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$4.00 support 1.18x 0 months ago
$5.80 resistance 1.09x 0 months ago
$9.20 resistance 1.12x 23 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (18 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.31% 0.80% 66.67% 7.14% -10.82%
1 Day 0.41% 0.01% 50.00% 11.01% -8.76%
1 Week 4.35% 5.34% 72.22% 48.82% -42.16%
2 Weeks 3.87% 6.58% 66.67% 58.06% -34.48%
1 Month 4.62% 3.27% 58.82% 124.41% -36.60%

Next earnings: October 25, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.23% 51.8% 199
Tuesday 0.41% 53.2% 222
Wednesday -0.51% 42.7% 220
Thursday -0.06% 49.1% 214
Friday -0.08% 50.9% 216

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 18.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 84.2%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings12
Net Value-$928,062.403
Net Shares Change171,114
% of Float0.5%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Wilks Dan H. +$3.6M 1 1 buy
Greenwood Matthew A Chief Commercial Officer -$332,008.77 2 2 sell
Wilks Johnathan Ladd -$271,538.28 2 2 sell
Wilks Matthew Chief Executive Officer +$271,203.587 3 2 buy, 1 sell
Harbour Austin Chief Financial Officer -$251,084.73 1 1 sell
Scrogham Steven CLO, CCO & Corp. Sec. -$245,886.81 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-31 – 2026-04-01 8 5 -$1.5M 8 C-suite
2026-08-11 – 2026-08-12 3 3 +$4.0M 1 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-12 Wilks Matthew Chief Executive Officer +$401,848 Transaction at $5.02, now -4.0%
2026-08-12 Wilks Dan H. +$3.6M Transaction at $5.02, now -4.0%
2026-08-11 Wilks Johnathan Ladd +N/A N/A
2026-04-01 Greenwood Matthew A Chief Commercial Officer -$79,942.8 Transaction at $6.20, now -22.3%
2026-03-31 Scrogham Steven CLO, CCO & Corp. Sec. -$245,886.81 Transaction at $6.63, now -27.3%
2026-03-31 Harbour Austin Chief Financial Officer -$251,084.73 Transaction at $6.63, now -27.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for ProFrac Holding Corp. (ACDC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ACDC on Trend Edge →