ACA — Arcosa Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ACA Bullish with a Setup Score of 40, net conviction 49, actionability 33. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score40
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction49
Actionability33 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Arcosa Inc

Arcosa, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides infrastructure-related products and solutions for the construction, engineered structures, and transportation markets in the United States. The company operates through three segments: Construction Products, Engineered Structures, and Transportation Products. The Construction Products segment offers natural and recycled aggregates; specialty materials; and construction site support equipment,… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$145.27
Market Cap$7.14B
Float48.1M
Shares Outstanding49.1M
P/E (Forward)35.84
P/E (TTM)32.53
Price/Sales (TTM)2.45
vs. Analyst Target+1.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin16.84%
Operating Margin (TTM)12.31%
Revenue (TTM)$2.92B
Earnings Growth (YoY)448.60%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$146.67 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $1.94B $107M $382M $263M
2021 $2.04B $69.6M $356M $251M
2022 $2.24B $246M $411M $501M
2023 $2.31B $159M $444M $384M
2024 $2.57B $93.7M $515M $396M
2025 $2.88B $208M $647M $573M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $798M $73.0M
Dec 2025 $717M $52.1M
Mar 2026 $572M $37.8M
Jun 2026 $659M $329M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership94.0%
Short Float1.7%
% of All Funds Holding4.84%
Number of Funds Holding426

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$145.01Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$123.25Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$106.28Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$89.56Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$122.99Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$106.29Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$94.83Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$126.00 support 2.86x 1 months ago
$84.00 support 1.13x 11 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (33 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.38% 0.27% 57.58% 10.89% -6.71%
1 Day 1.46% 0.31% 51.52% 23.57% -15.86%
1 Week 2.15% 2.76% 63.64% 24.21% -17.32%
2 Weeks 0.88% 0.06% 51.52% 25.56% -18.76%
1 Month 1.39% 0.28% 50.00% 25.77% -25.06%

Next earnings: October 24, 2026 (60 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.3%62.5%8
Feb1.4%62.5%8
Mar0.7%50.0%8
Apr0.0%50.0%8
May4.5%75.0%8
Jun3.4%62.5%8
Jul2.0%50.0%8
Aug2.5%57.1%7
Sep-1.8%28.6%7
Oct5.2%71.4%7
Nov5.2%71.4%7
Dec1.6%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.13% 52.6% 367
Tuesday 0.16% 50.0% 404
Wednesday -0.07% 49.1% 401
Thursday 0.14% 53.7% 393
Friday 0.21% 50.5% 392

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 94.0%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Arcosa Inc (ACA) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ACA on Trend Edge →