ABG — Asbury Automotive Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ABG Bearish with a Setup Score of 44, net conviction 31, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score44
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction31
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Asbury Automotive Group Inc

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It operates through Dealerships; and Total Care Auto, Powered by Asbury (TCA) segments. The company offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and vehicle repair and maintenance services, replacement parts, collision repair, and reconditioning services for used vehicles. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$211.97
Market Cap$3.94B
Float14.3M
Shares Outstanding18.6M
P/E (Forward)7.85
P/E (TTM)7.24
Price/Sales (TTM)0.22
vs. Analyst Target+9.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin3.05%
Operating Margin (TTM)4.71%
Revenue (TTM)$17.96B
Earnings Growth (YoY)47.10%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$232.30 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.13B $254M $1.22B $451M
2021 $9.84B $532M $1.90B $842M
2022 $15.43B $997M $3.10B $1.55B
2023 $14.80B $603M $2.76B $1.03B
2024 $17.19B $430M $2.95B $919M
2025 $18.00B $492M $3.07B $1.02B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $4.37B $153M
Sep 2025 $4.80B $147M
Dec 2025 $4.68B $60.0M
Mar 2026 $4.11B $188M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership103.8%
Short Float8.5%
% of All Funds Holding3.42%
Number of Funds Holding281

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$196.51Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$217.16Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$230.30Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$221.47Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$214.78Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$228.97Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$227.56Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$186.00 support 1.19x 0 months ago
$234.00 resistance 1.34x 4 months ago
$271.00 resistance 1.17x 15 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (97 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.22% 0.13% 50.52% 4.58% -6.17%
1 Day 0.40% 0.35% 53.61% 31.91% -13.50%
1 Week 1.11% 0.73% 53.61% 46.81% -20.73%
2 Weeks 1.91% 0.50% 51.55% 52.84% -18.93%
1 Month 3.80% 1.04% 58.33% 149.29% -24.54%

Next earnings: August 4, 2026 (23 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%50.0%24
Feb1.3%54.2%24
Mar1.7%62.5%24
Apr9.9%68.0%25
May0.5%44.0%25
Jun-0.9%56.0%25
Jul6.1%58.3%24
Aug0.6%62.5%24
Sep-1.8%45.8%24
Oct-3.6%45.8%24
Nov6.4%66.7%24
Dec1.7%54.2%24

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.11% 50.7% 1147
Tuesday 0.22% 53.6% 1256
Wednesday 0.00% 51.6% 1254
Thursday 0.04% 49.9% 1229
Friday 0.09% 48.9% 1224

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 103.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings9
Net Value-$77,028.38
Net Shares Change61,511
% of Float0.4%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
ABRAMS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. +$10.6M 1 1 buy
Hult David W President & CEO +$577,736.26 1 1 buy
Milstein Jed SVP & CHRO -$553,004.64 2 2 sell
Morrison Maureen F -$204,488 1 1 sell
JAMES JUANITA T -$152,562.5 1 1 sell
DiSantis B. Christopher +$129,772.67 2 2 buy
Calloway Dean SVP, General Counsel & Sec -$101,760 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-08-20 – 2025-09-02 4 4 -$745,500.82 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-22 DiSantis B. Christopher +$28,622.67 Transaction at $182.31, now +16.3%
2026-03-09 Hult David W President & CEO +$577,736.26 Transaction at $208.91, now +1.5%
2026-03-11 DiSantis B. Christopher +$101,150 Transaction at $202.30, now +4.8%
2025-08-01 ABRAMS CAPITAL MANAGEMENT, L.P. +$10.6M Transaction at $225.16, now -5.9%
2025-11-26 Milstein Jed SVP & CHRO -$266,314.32 Transaction at $235.26, now -9.9%
2025-08-25 Milstein Jed SVP & CHRO -$286,690.32 Transaction at $253.26, now -16.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ABG on Trend Edge →