ABG — Asbury Automotive Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates ABG Bullish with a Setup Score of 40, net conviction 25, actionability 65. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score40
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction25
Actionability65 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Asbury Automotive Group Inc

Asbury Automotive Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an automotive retailer in the United States. It operates through Dealerships; and Total Care Auto, Powered by Asbury (TCA) segments. The company offers a range of automotive products and services, including new and used vehicles; and vehicle repair and maintenance services, replacement parts, collision repair, and reconditioning services for used vehicles. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$215.59
Market Cap$3.87B
Float14.7M
Shares Outstanding18.0M
P/E (Forward)8.16
P/E (TTM)7.92
Price/Sales (TTM)0.22
vs. Analyst Target+17.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin2.83%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.10%
Revenue (TTM)$17.97B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-19.40%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$254.20 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $7.13B $254M $1.22B $451M
2021 $9.84B $532M $1.90B $842M
2022 $15.43B $997M $3.10B $1.55B
2023 $14.80B $603M $2.76B $1.03B
2024 $17.19B $430M $2.95B $919M
2025 $18.00B $492M $3.07B $1.02B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $4.80B $147M
Dec 2025 $4.68B $60.0M
Mar 2026 $4.11B $188M
Jun 2026 $4.38B $115M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.8%
Institutional Ownership107.7%
Short Float7.1%
% of All Funds Holding3.57%
Number of Funds Holding314

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$215.52Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$214.87Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$226.03Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$223.81Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$214.86Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$228.59Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$228.60Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$200.00 support 1.23x 0 months ago
$186.00 support 1.19x 1 months ago
$234.00 resistance 1.34x 5 months ago
$271.00 resistance 1.17x 16 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (98 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.22% 0.14% 51.02% 4.58% -6.17%
1 Day 0.43% 0.38% 54.08% 31.91% -13.50%
1 Week 1.01% 0.57% 53.06% 46.81% -20.73%
2 Weeks 1.75% 0.27% 51.02% 52.84% -18.93%
1 Month 3.69% 1.02% 57.73% 149.29% -24.54%

Next earnings: October 16, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.7%50.0%24
Feb1.3%54.2%24
Mar1.7%62.5%24
Apr9.9%68.0%25
May0.5%44.0%25
Jun-0.9%56.0%25
Jul6.5%60.0%25
Aug0.6%62.5%24
Sep-1.8%45.8%24
Oct-3.6%45.8%24
Nov6.4%66.7%24
Dec1.7%54.2%24

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.10% 50.5% 1154
Tuesday 0.22% 53.6% 1263
Wednesday 0.01% 51.7% 1261
Thursday 0.04% 49.9% 1236
Friday 0.08% 48.8% 1231

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 107.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value+$74,161.145
Net Shares Change15,768
% of Float0.1%
C-Suite Filings3
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Hult David W President & CEO +$577,736.26 1 1 buy
Milstein Jed SVP & CHRO -$503,575.115 2 2 sell
Morrison Maureen F -$204,488 1 1 sell
DiSantis B. Christopher +$129,772.67 2 2 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-31 Milstein Jed SVP & CHRO -$237,260.795 Transaction at $250.28, now -13.9%
2026-03-09 Hult David W President & CEO +$577,736.26 Transaction at $208.91, now +3.2%
2026-03-11 DiSantis B. Christopher +$101,150 Transaction at $202.30, now +6.6%
2026-05-22 DiSantis B. Christopher +$28,622.67 Transaction at $182.31, now +18.3%
2025-11-26 Milstein Jed SVP & CHRO -$266,314.32 Transaction at $235.26, now -8.4%
2025-09-02 Morrison Maureen F -$204,488 Transaction at $255.61, now -15.7%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Asbury Automotive Group Inc (ABG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for ABG on Trend Edge →