AAUC — Allied Gold Corporation

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates AAUC Bullish with a Setup Score of 41, net conviction 40, actionability 42. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score41
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction40
Actionability42 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Allied Gold Corporation

Allied Gold Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, operates as gold mining company in Africa. It primarily explores gold and silver deposits. The company's flagship project is the Sadiola gold project comprising of 2 mining licenses located in the Republic of Mali. The company was formerly known as Allied Gold Corp Limited & Allied Merger Corporation and changed its name to Allied Gold Corporation in September 2023. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$26.38
Market Cap$3.17B
Float93.1M
Shares Outstanding125.9M
P/E (Forward)5.07
Price/Sales (TTM)2.29
Profit Margin-9.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)24.71%
Revenue (TTM)$1.38B
Dividend RateNone

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2022 $670M -$7.4M $129M N/A
2023 $656M -$208M $107M -$131M
2024 $730M -$116M $220M $40.0M
2025 $1.33B -$51.8M $507M $321M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $252M -$25.4M
Sep 2025 $306M -$17.9M
Dec 2025 $428M -$23.6M
Mar 2026 $389M -$57.5M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership20.7%
Institutional Ownership73.3%
Short Float3.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.22%
Number of Funds Holding100

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$28.14Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$25.36Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.36Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$25.33Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.16Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$29.90 resistance 1.07x 0 months ago
$23.40 support 3.69x 4 months ago
$15.40 support 3.11x 6 months ago
$14.20 support 2.63x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (7 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.31% 1.49% 71.43% 5.60% -1.47%
1 Day -0.20% -1.66% 28.57% 13.79% -11.91%
1 Week -1.15% 1.03% 57.14% 11.15% -12.42%
2 Weeks 0.57% 0.63% 57.14% 12.02% -12.89%
1 Month 23.38% 19.93% 83.33% 49.57% -5.61%

Next earnings: August 5, 2026 (50 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 73.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 20.7%

Founder-led management: Peter Marrone (Chairman and Chief Executive Officer)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Allied Gold Corporation (AAUC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for AAUC on Trend Edge →