YPF — YPF Sociedad Anonima

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates YPF Bullish with a Setup Score of 52, net conviction 43, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score52
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About YPF Sociedad Anonima

YPF Sociedad Anónima, an energy company, engages in the oil and gas upstream and downstream activities in South America and Argentina. The company operates through the Upstream, Midstream and Downstream, LNG and Integrated Gas, and New Energies segments. It is involved in the exploration and exploitation of hydrocarbon fields and production of crude oil and natural gas; the refining, transportation and commercialization of refined products; the p… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$47.58
Market Cap$18.45B
Float160.6M
Shares Outstanding392.1M
P/E (Forward)8.20
Price/Sales (TTM)0.00
vs. Analyst Target+20.6% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-1.82%
Operating Margin (TTM)18.99%
Revenue (TTM)$25.33T
Earnings Growth (YoY)-86.00%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$57.37 (12 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $692.51B -$69.65B $70.67B $107.06B
2021 $1.32T $257M $294.87B $367.45B
2022 $2.53T $289.06B $650.78B $631.62B
2023 $5.48T -$1.56T $969.46B $1.08T
2024 $17.90T $2.08T $4.94T $3.90T
2025 $26.53T -$1.20T $7.16T $7.32T

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $4.64T $71.50B
Sep 2025 $6.63T -$294.06B
Dec 2025 $6.59T -$948.95B
Mar 2026 $6.87T $561.57B

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership0.1%
Institutional Ownership37.3%
Short Float4.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.81%
Number of Funds Holding149

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$48.42Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$39.94Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$36.93Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$24.78Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$42.20Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$37.95Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$28.27Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$35.90 support 1.58x 3 months ago
$24.50 support 1.75x 8 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (93 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.21% 0.05% 50.54% 4.06% -5.49%
1 Day -0.07% -0.05% 46.24% 10.00% -7.87%
1 Week -0.63% -0.33% 43.01% 24.09% -41.94%
2 Weeks 1.18% 0.69% 52.69% 67.90% -54.84%
1 Month 2.23% 1.93% 55.43% 78.48% -48.04%

Next earnings: August 6, 2026 (26 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.7%60.6%33
Feb-2.5%42.4%33
Mar1.6%48.5%33
Apr-0.8%48.5%33
May2.7%63.6%33
Jun-1.4%45.5%33
Jul0.6%45.5%33
Aug0.0%45.5%33
Sep-1.3%51.5%33
Oct2.9%39.4%33
Nov6.9%60.6%33
Dec3.2%57.6%33

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 46.1% 1562
Tuesday 0.15% 49.1% 1706
Wednesday 0.09% 50.1% 1705
Thursday -0.05% 46.1% 1672
Friday 0.07% 46.9% 1664

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 37.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 0.1%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$171,293.354
Net Shares Change-4,575
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected1

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Aldeco Marcelo Gustavo Labor Relations VP -$554,675.59 1 1 sell
Farina Matias Osvaldo VP Upstream +$401,295.55 1 1 buy
Martin Mauricio Alejandro Midstrm. & Downstrm. Exec. VP -$149,547.314 1 1 sell
Marin Horacio Daniel Chairman of the Board/ CEO +$131,634 1 1 buy
Maquieyra Martin -$6,132.6 2 1 buy, 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-07-02 – 2026-07-09 3 3 +$522,605.07 2 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-02 Farina Matias Osvaldo VP Upstream +$401,295.55 Transaction at $45.22, now +5.2%
2026-07-02 Marin Horacio Daniel Chairman of the Board/ CEO +$131,634 Transaction at $46.35, now +2.7%
2026-06-02 Maquieyra Martin +$4,191.88 Transaction at $54.44, now -12.6%
2026-07-09 Maquieyra Martin -$10,324.48 Transaction at $47.36, now +0.5%
2026-03-27 Martin Mauricio Alejandro Midstrm. & Downstrm. Exec. VP -$149,547.314 Transaction at $43.60, now +9.1%
2026-03-20 Aldeco Marcelo Gustavo Labor Relations VP -$554,675.59 Transaction at $43.61, now +9.1%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for YPF Sociedad Anonima (YPF) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for YPF on Trend Edge →