Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
About Watsco Inc
Watsco, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the distribution of air conditioning, heating, and refrigeration equipment, and related parts and supplies in the United States, Canada, Latin America, and the Caribbean. It distributes equipment, including residential ducted and ductless air conditioners, such as gas, electric, and oil furnaces; commercial air conditioning and heating equipment systems; and other specialized equipment. Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Industrials
Industry: Industrial Distribution
Exchange: NYSE
IPO Date: June 7, 1984
Headquarters: 2665 South Bayshore Drive, Miami, FL, United States, 33133
Hidden Gem: Yes — undiscovered relative to its market cap tier
Founder-Led: Yes — Albert H. Nahmad (Chairman & CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$380.95
Market Cap
$15.38B
Float
35.6M
Shares Outstanding
35.0M
P/E (Forward)
28.74
P/E (TTM)
31.06
Price/Sales (TTM)
2.12
vs. Analyst Target
+11.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
6.85%
Operating Margin (TTM)
6.85%
Revenue (TTM)
$7.24B
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.10%
Dividend Rate
13.2%
Analyst Target Price
$424.70 (15 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$5.05B
$270M
$1.22B
$427M
2021
$6.28B
$419M
$1.67B
$657M
2022
$7.27B
$601M
$2.03B
$863M
2023
$7.28B
$536M
$1.99B
$804M
2024
$7.62B
$536M
$2.04B
$792M
2025
$7.24B
$497M
$2.03B
$781M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$2.06B
$184M
Sep 2025
$2.07B
$162M
Dec 2025
$1.58B
$71.7M
Mar 2026
$1.53B
$79.1M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
0.4%
Institutional Ownership
114.0%
Short Float
0.0%
% of All Funds Holding
8.75%
Number of Funds Holding
719
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$400.59
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$383.02
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$429.99
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$396.49
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$384.44
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$431.50
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$416.12
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$365.00
support
1.21x
0 months ago
$339.00
support
1.01x
3 months ago
$448.00
resistance
1.13x
8 months ago
$509.00
resistance
1.44x
12 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (123 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
0.20%
0.13%
56.10%
5.84%
-3.60%
1 Day
0.24%
-0.08%
47.97%
15.33%
-11.30%
1 Week
0.49%
0.31%
52.03%
13.84%
-16.91%
2 Weeks
1.14%
1.30%
61.79%
19.58%
-18.58%
1 Month
2.66%
2.23%
60.66%
26.69%
-18.47%
Next earnings: July 17, 2026 (49 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.4%
57.1%
42
Feb
1.9%
61.9%
42
Mar
4.7%
66.7%
42
Apr
5.7%
71.4%
42
May
3.6%
56.1%
41
Jun
-0.6%
46.3%
41
Jul
0.7%
54.8%
42
Aug
-0.1%
42.9%
42
Sep
-1.8%
45.2%
42
Oct
-1.2%
45.2%
42
Nov
3.3%
61.9%
42
Dec
-0.5%
45.2%
42
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.03%
41.4%
1997
Tuesday
0.07%
43.2%
2169
Wednesday
0.08%
43.0%
2165
Thursday
0.06%
43.4%
2125
Friday
0.11%
43.0%
2116
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 114.0%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 0.4%
Founder-led management: Albert H. Nahmad (Chairman & CEO)
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The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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