WFG — West Fraser Timber Co Ltd

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About West Fraser Timber Co Ltd

West Fraser Timber Co. Ltd., a diversified wood products company, engages in manufacturing, selling, marketing, and distributing lumber, engineered wood products, northern bleached softwood kraft pulp, newsprint, paper, wood chips and other residuals. It operates through four segments: Lumber, North America Engineered Wood Products, Pulp & Paper, and Europe Engineered Wood Products. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$63.89
Market Cap$4.77B
Float54.6M
Shares Outstanding76.0M
P/E (Forward)47.39
Price/Sales (TTM)0.89
vs. Analyst Target+31.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-21.87%
Operating Margin (TTM)-15.82%
Revenue (TTM)$5.34B
Earnings Growth (YoY)10.30%
Dividend Rate1.3%
Analyst Target Price$83.67 (7 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $4.59B $588M $1.89B $1.02B
2021 $10.52B $2.95B $5.87B $4.53B
2022 $9.70B $1.98B $4.56B $3.21B
2023 $6.45B -$167M $1.77B $337M
2024 $6.17B -$5.0M $1.84B $614M
2025 $5.55B -$953M -$32.5M $70.2M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.56B -$24.4M
Sep 2025 $1.29B -$202M
Dec 2025 $1.62B -$1.05B
Mar 2026 $957M -$135M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership32.3%
Institutional Ownership58.8%
Short Float3.1%
% of All Funds Holding1.95%
Number of Funds Holding160

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$63.54Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$65.50Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$72.42Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$77.01Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$65.18Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$73.06Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$76.14Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$62.00 support 1.15x 3 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (70 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.45% 0.00% 44.29% 9.00% -8.65%
1 Day 1.00% 0.00% 45.71% 13.16% -7.58%
1 Week 0.75% 0.00% 48.57% 18.40% -13.76%
2 Weeks 0.95% 0.75% 51.43% 19.26% -14.50%
1 Month 2.68% 2.22% 59.42% 54.13% -46.82%

Next earnings: July 18, 2026 (51 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.8%64.7%17
Feb-0.6%41.2%17
Mar-1.1%44.4%18
Apr1.3%55.6%18
May1.6%47.1%17
Jun0.8%47.1%17
Jul3.8%47.1%17
Aug2.5%47.1%17
Sep-3.5%29.4%17
Oct2.7%64.7%17
Nov6.7%82.4%17
Dec2.4%52.9%17

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 32.9% 814
Tuesday 0.10% 32.7% 894
Wednesday 0.13% 34.2% 891
Thursday 0.10% 33.9% 875
Friday 0.06% 33.7% 870

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 58.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 32.3%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for West Fraser Timber Co Ltd (WFG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for WFG on Trend Edge →