VMI — Valmont Industries Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VMI Bullish with a Setup Score of 32, net conviction 52, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score32
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction52
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Valmont Industries Inc

Valmont Industries, Inc. operates as a manufacturer of products and services for infrastructure and agriculture markets in the United States, Australia, Brazil, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Infrastructure and Agriculture. It manufactures and distributes steel, pre-stressed concrete, composite structures for electrical transmission, substation, and distribution applications; and designs, engineers, and manufactures me… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$467.81
Market Cap$9.05B
Float18.7M
Shares Outstanding19.3M
P/E (Forward)18.28
P/E (TTM)18.29
Price/Sales (TTM)2.14
vs. Analyst Target+33.5% to analyst PT
Profit Margin11.70%
Operating Margin (TTM)14.85%
Revenue (TTM)$4.23B
Earnings Growth (YoY)27.50%
Dividend Rate3.1%
Analyst Target Price$624.50 (6 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $2.90B $141M $766M $317M
2021 $3.50B $196M $884M $395M
2022 $4.35B $251M $1.13B $509M
2023 $4.17B $143M $1.24B $392M
2024 $4.08B $348M $1.24B $623M
2025 $4.10B $350M $1.24B $507M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.05B $99.0M
Dec 2025 $1.04B $168M
Mar 2026 $1.03B $108M
Jun 2026 $1.12B $120M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership2.6%
Institutional Ownership97.5%
Short Float2.5%
% of All Funds Holding7.40%
Number of Funds Holding651

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$480.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$479.48Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$420.00Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$334.22Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$479.27Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$418.17Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$342.22Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$559.00 resistance 1.25x 2 months ago
$399.00 support 1.27x 5 months ago
$325.00 support 1.32x 14 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (125 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.10% 0.00% 47.20% 5.80% -8.66%
1 Day -0.50% -0.21% 46.40% 11.93% -12.66%
1 Week -0.17% 0.09% 50.40% 12.66% -23.40%
2 Weeks 0.49% 0.14% 50.40% 19.71% -23.98%
1 Month 1.40% 2.38% 63.71% 27.48% -40.57%

Next earnings: October 20, 2026 (9 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan2.5%52.9%51
Feb3.2%62.7%51
Mar2.0%56.9%51
Apr5.5%72.5%51
May-1.4%45.1%51
Jun1.6%52.9%51
Jul1.9%56.9%51
Aug1.3%51.0%51
Sep-1.9%45.1%51
Oct0.2%62.0%50
Nov2.4%66.0%50
Dec1.1%52.9%51

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.06% 38.8% 2402
Tuesday 0.03% 41.6% 2605
Wednesday 0.08% 41.5% 2606
Thursday 0.11% 41.4% 2556
Friday 0.20% 43.6% 2541

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 97.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 2.6%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings6
Net Value-$356,862.14
Net Shares Change-18,311
% of Float-0.1%
C-Suite Filings4
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
BAY MOGENS C -$8.6M 1 1 sell
Freye Theodor Werner -$396,000 1 1 sell
Campbell Renee L SVP, Capital Markets & Risk -$303,975.3 2 2 sell
Colwell James Christopher Pres.-Global TDS, Svc&Coating -$154,005 1 1 sell
Schwietz John L Executive VP and CFO +$101,118.16 1 1 buy

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-07-24 Schwietz John L Executive VP and CFO +$101,118.16 Transaction at $486.14, now -3.8%
2026-07-27 Freye Theodor Werner -$396,000 Transaction at $495.00, now -5.5%
2026-04-28 BAY MOGENS C -$8.6M Transaction at $492.34, now -5.0%
2026-05-07 Campbell Renee L SVP, Capital Markets & Risk -$215,249.4 Transaction at $522.45, now -10.5%
2026-02-25 Campbell Renee L SVP, Capital Markets & Risk -$88,725.9 Transaction at $457.35, now +2.3%
2025-10-24 Colwell James Christopher Pres.-Global TDS, Svc&Coating -$154,005 Transaction at $410.68, now +13.9%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Valmont Industries Inc (VMI) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VMI on Trend Edge →