VINP — Vinci Partners Investments Ltd

✨ Hidden Gem Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates VINP Bearish with a Setup Score of 47, net conviction 35, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score47
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction35
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Vinci Partners Investments Ltd

Vinci Compass Investments Ltd. operates as an asset management firm in Brazil. It operates through six segments: Global Investment Products and Solutions (IP&S), Credit, Private Equity, Equities, Real Assets, and Corporate Advisory. The Global IP&S segment provides access to a network of general partners and asset managers. This segment also offers proprietary investment solutions; multi-asset allocation strategies, as well as portfolio and manag… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$9.66
Market Cap$613M
Float21.8M
Shares Outstanding51.2M
P/E (Forward)10.82
P/E (TTM)13.72
Price/Sales (TTM)0.58
vs. Analyst Target+47.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin23.13%
Operating Margin (TTM)27.59%
Revenue (TTM)$1.06B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-32.00%
Dividend Rate0.7%
Analyst Target Price$14.23 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $349M $170M $274M $238M
2021 $493M $209M $339M $284M
2022 $502M $219M $359M $303M
2023 $565M $221M $494M $323M
2024 $665M $118M $454M $261M
2025 $958M $213M $902M $413M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $355M $115M
Dec 2025 $736M $151M
Mar 2026 $275M $109M
Jun 2026 $286M $47.8M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership47.1%
Institutional Ownership23.1%
Short Float0.9%
% of All Funds Holding0.48%
Number of Funds Holding42

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$9.75Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$11.02Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$10.59Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$10.28Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.08Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$10.61Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$10.45Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.00 resistance 1.23x 2 months ago
$11.50 resistance 1.78x 4 months ago
$12.60 resistance 1.05x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (24 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.09% 0.19% 58.33% 4.39% -8.54%
1 Day -0.98% -0.25% 41.67% 5.39% -7.34%
1 Week -1.72% -0.64% 41.67% 15.51% -18.22%
2 Weeks -3.35% -2.44% 39.13% 17.39% -17.82%
1 Month -3.45% -2.13% 43.48% 20.90% -25.64%

Next earnings: October 30, 2026 (66 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.02% 49.6% 260
Tuesday -0.01% 48.4% 289
Wednesday -0.01% 47.4% 287
Thursday -0.12% 48.2% 280
Friday 0.09% 50.5% 281

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 23.1%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 47.1%

Founder-led management: Alessandro Monteiro Morgado Horta (Chief Executive Officer & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings88
Net Value-$7.0M
Net Shares Change-646,720
% of Float-3.0%
C-Suite Filings88
Clusters Detected5

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Zaremba Bruno Augusto Sacchi Pres. Finance and Operations -$876,713.005 3 N/A
Ribeiro Sergio Passos Chief Financial Officer -$474,999.737 3 N/A
Lovisotto Fernando Head of Global IP&S -$334,810.505 4 N/A

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2026-03-27 – 2026-04-10 15 3 -$1.4M 15 C-suite
2026-04-13 – 2026-04-27 20 3 -$1.8M 20 C-suite
2026-04-29 – 2026-05-13 21 3 -$1.5M 21 C-suite
2026-05-15 – 2026-05-29 13 3 -$1.1M 13 C-suite
2026-06-17 – 2026-06-26 7 3 -$649,497.519 7 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-06-22 Ribeiro Sergio Passos Chief Financial Officer -$140,791.519 Transaction at $9.88, now -2.2%
2026-06-17 Ribeiro Sergio Passos Chief Financial Officer -$146,532.982 Transaction at $10.00, now -3.4%
2026-05-15 Zaremba Bruno Augusto Sacchi Pres. Finance and Operations -$246,724.169 Transaction at $10.62, now -9.0%
2026-04-22 Zaremba Bruno Augusto Sacchi Pres. Finance and Operations -$322,513.36 Transaction at $11.15, now -13.4%
2026-04-17 Zaremba Bruno Augusto Sacchi President of Finance and Oper. -$307,475.476 Transaction at $10.79, now -10.5%
2026-03-27 Ribeiro Sergio Passos Chief Financial Officer -$187,675.236 Transaction at $10.11, now -4.4%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Vinci Partners Investments Ltd (VINP) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VINP on Trend Edge →