VCTR — Victory Capital Holdings Inc

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Victory Capital Holdings Inc

Victory Capital Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an asset management company in the United States and internationally. It offers specialized investment strategies to institutions, intermediaries, retirement platforms, and individual investors. The company also provides various investment products, including actively and passively managed mutual funds, rules-based and active exchange traded funds (ETF), institutional sep… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$87.84
Market Cap$5.23B
Float44.5M
Shares Outstanding62.5M
P/E (Forward)11.71
P/E (TTM)18.80
Price/Sales (TTM)3.55
vs. Analyst Target-2.3% to analyst PT
Profit Margin25.79%
Operating Margin (TTM)45.85%
Revenue (TTM)$1.47B
Earnings Growth (YoY)38.50%
Dividend Rate2.0%
Analyst Target Price$85.80 (8 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $775M $213M $403M $329M
2021 $890M $278M $479M $392M
2022 $855M $276M $455M $440M
2023 $821M $213M $456M $394M
2024 $893M $289M $530M $481M
2025 $1.31B $330M $928M $566M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $351M $58.7M
Sep 2025 $361M $96.5M
Dec 2025 $374M $113M
Mar 2026 $388M $112M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership10.5%
Institutional Ownership82.8%
Short Float7.7%
% of All Funds Holding3.66%
Number of Funds Holding301

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$76.65Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$69.32Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$66.65Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$49.07Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$69.58Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$66.53Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$52.79Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$43.00 support 1.62x 24 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (34 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 1.23% 0.60% 61.76% 15.34% -11.97%
1 Day 2.61% 2.22% 64.71% 20.00% -6.81%
1 Week 4.88% 4.19% 70.59% 44.54% -8.72%
2 Weeks 4.76% 3.99% 70.59% 47.24% -14.64%
1 Month 3.31% 2.87% 60.61% 38.53% -41.02%

Next earnings: July 25, 2026 (59 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.3%50.0%8
Feb5.9%62.5%8
Mar-3.0%33.3%9
Apr4.1%55.6%9
May4.6%87.5%8
Jun-1.1%62.5%8
Jul4.7%75.0%8
Aug0.7%50.0%8
Sep-4.2%12.5%8
Oct2.1%62.5%8
Nov15.0%87.5%8
Dec0.6%62.5%8

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.12% 52.2% 391
Tuesday 0.23% 52.7% 429
Wednesday 0.09% 50.4% 425
Thursday -0.07% 51.7% 418
Friday 0.26% 53.5% 419

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 82.8%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 10.5%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings3
Net Value+N/A
Net Shares Change-338,547
% of Float-0.8%
C-Suite Filings0
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Amundi +N/A 3 3 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-03-18 Amundi +N/A N/A
2025-10-31 Amundi +N/A N/A
2025-07-16 Amundi +N/A N/A

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Victory Capital Holdings Inc (VCTR) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for VCTR on Trend Edge →