URG — Ur Energy Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates URG Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 43, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score0
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction43
Actionability0 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Ur Energy Inc

Ur-Energy Inc. engages in the acquisition, exploration, development, and operation of uranium mineral properties in the United States. It holds interests in 12 projects located in the United States. The company's flagship property is the Lost Creek project covering an area of approximately 1,800 unpatented mining claims and three Wyoming mineral leases covering an area of approximately 35,400 acres located in the Great Divide Basin, Wyoming. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.48
Market Cap$529M
Float371.5M
Shares Outstanding397.9M
P/E (Forward)156.25
Price/Sales (TTM)15.09
vs. Analyst Target+46.0% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-252.34%
Operating Margin (TTM)-128.27%
Revenue (TTM)$35.1M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$2.16 (4 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $8.3M -$14.8M -$4.7M -$9.8M
2021 $16,000 -$24.6M -$7.0M -$12.0M
2022 $19,000 -$17.1M -$6.8M -$13.7M
2023 $17.7M -$30.7M -$1.7M -$27.7M
2024 $33.7M -$53.2M -$9.0M -$50.1M
2025 $27.2M -$74.9M $74,000 -$67.3M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $6.3M -$27.5M
Dec 2025 $10.4M -$15.6M
Mar 2026 $3.9M -$28.8M
Jun 2026 $14.4M -$16.7M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership6.7%
Institutional Ownership78.5%
Short Float15.4%
% of All Funds Holding1.85%
Number of Funds Holding163

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.33Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$1.51Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$1.32Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$1.32Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$1.51Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$1.32Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$1.36Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$1.60 resistance 1.69x 1 months ago
$1.10 support 1.19x 12 months ago
$0.90 support 2.06x 13 months ago
$1.80 resistance 1.68x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (73 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.01% 0.00% 34.25% 12.90% -6.90%
1 Day 0.04% -0.84% 35.62% 20.30% -8.62%
1 Week 0.03% 0.00% 45.21% 24.19% -28.14%
2 Weeks -2.27% -3.91% 33.33% 20.97% -26.09%
1 Month -0.65% -4.66% 43.06% 67.67% -53.09%

Next earnings: October 29, 2026 (63 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan7.7%55.6%18
Feb-0.7%27.8%18
Mar-3.5%44.4%18
Apr5.9%55.6%18
May2.4%50.0%18
Jun-2.0%33.3%18
Jul-0.6%50.0%18
Aug0.7%44.4%18
Sep-2.4%44.4%18
Oct0.9%38.9%18
Nov2.4%50.0%18
Dec5.6%61.1%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.08% 40.0% 854
Tuesday 0.10% 40.8% 936
Wednesday 0.15% 42.1% 933
Thursday -0.07% 38.9% 914
Friday 0.18% 41.5% 910

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 78.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 6.7%

Founder-led management: Jeffrey Klenda (Director), Matthew Gili (President, CEO & Director)

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings18
Net Value-$364,897.208
Net Shares Change697,291
% of Float0.2%
C-Suite Filings10
Clusters Detected2

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Walle Jade VICE PRESIDENT FINANCE +$332,861 2 2 buy
Gili Matthew David PRESIDENT +$187,550 1 1 buy
SMITH ROGER L. CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$40,575.758 1 1 sell
CASH JOHN -$28,767.87 1 1 sell
HATTEN STEVEN M. Chief Operating Officer -$27,866.362 1 1 sell
Chang Robby Sai Kit -$15,104.815 1 1 sell
RITCHIE DAVID A. GENERAL COUNSEL/CORP SECRETARY +$14,200 1 1 buy
HUBER GARY C +$9,103.517 1 1 sell

Transaction Clusters

PeriodFilingsInsidersNet ValueSeniority
2025-11-07 – 2025-11-21 7 6 -$10,777.221 4 C-suite
2026-08-24 – 2026-08-25 6 6 -$106,725.769 3 C-suite

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-25 RITCHIE DAVID A. GENERAL COUNSEL/CORP SECRETARY +$14,200 Transaction at $1.42, now +4.2%
2026-08-25 Chang Robby Sai Kit -$15,104.815 Transaction at $1.22, now +20.9%
2026-08-25 SMITH ROGER L. CHIEF FINANCIAL OFFICER -$40,575.758 Transaction at $1.24, now +19.7%
2026-08-24 HATTEN STEVEN M. Chief Operating Officer -$27,866.362 Transaction at $1.22, now +21.6%
2026-03-19 Walle Jade VICE PRESIDENT FINANCE +$149,981 Transaction at $1.39, now +6.5%
2026-08-24 WALKER KATHY E -$8,610.964 Transaction at $1.21, now +22.0%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Ur Energy Inc (URG) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for URG on Trend Edge →