TWIN — Twin Disc Incorporated

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TWIN Bullish with a Setup Score of 42, net conviction 38, actionability 47. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score42
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction38
Actionability47 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Twin Disc Incorporated

Twin Disc, Incorporated engages in the design, manufacture, and sale of marine and heavy duty off-highway power transmission equipment in the United States, the Netherlands, China, Australia, Finland, Italy, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Manufacturing and Distribution. It offers marine transmissions, azimuth drives, surface drives, propellers, and boat management systems, as well as power-shift transmissions, hydrauli… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$23.49
Market Cap$353M
Float10.3M
Shares Outstanding14.4M
P/E (Forward)7.48
P/E (TTM)12.74
Price/Sales (TTM)0.97
vs. Analyst Target+27.7% to analyst PT
Profit Margin7.32%
Operating Margin (TTM)5.29%
Revenue (TTM)$364M
Earnings Growth (YoY)2239.00%
Dividend Rate0.2%
Analyst Target Price$30.00

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $219M -$29.7M $50.9M $3.8M
2022 $243M $10.5M $68.8M $24.3M
2023 $277M $10.4M $74.3M $26.1M
2024 $295M $11.0M $83.3M $26.8M
2025 $341M -$1.9M $92.7M $19.3M
2026 $381M $27.1M $103M $30.4M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $80.0M -$518,000
Dec 2025 $90.2M $22.4M
Mar 2026 $96.7M $3.3M
Jun 2026 $114M $1.9M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership22.6%
Institutional Ownership72.3%
Short Float4.8%
% of All Funds Holding1.06%
Number of Funds Holding93

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$23.39Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$18.71Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$14.43Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$13.38Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.54Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$14.36Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$14.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$16.90 support 3.18x 1 months ago
$8.60 support 1.14x 11 months ago
$7.30 support 3.31x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (102 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.01% 0.00% 48.04% 4.27% -4.04%
1 Day 0.08% 0.09% 50.98% 12.51% -10.46%
1 Week -0.07% -0.40% 47.52% 20.00% -22.83%
2 Weeks 0.38% -0.92% 45.54% 34.50% -28.57%
1 Month 0.52% 0.00% 49.50% 41.69% -39.69%

Next earnings: November 8, 2026 (73 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan3.5%63.0%46
Feb0.4%52.2%46
Mar1.4%45.7%46
Apr3.0%55.3%47
May-0.7%42.6%47
Jun1.7%53.2%47
Jul0.8%51.1%47
Aug2.8%54.3%46
Sep-2.3%37.0%46
Oct-0.9%37.0%46
Nov1.7%45.7%46
Dec0.8%52.2%46

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.07% 39.4% 2213
Tuesday -0.02% 40.9% 2401
Wednesday 0.05% 41.4% 2399
Thursday 0.13% 42.3% 2353
Friday 0.15% 42.6% 2337

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 72.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 22.6%

Founder-led management: John H. Batten (President, CEO & Director)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Twin Disc Incorporated (TWIN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TWIN on Trend Edge →