TVE — Tennessee Valley Authority

✨ Hidden Gem

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Tennessee Valley Authority

Tennessee Valley Authority engages in the production and sale of electricity in the United States. It generates power from coal-fired, nuclear, hydroelectric facilities, and combustion turbine and diesel generators. The company sells power at wholesale to distributor customers comprising municipalities and cooperatives that resell the power to their customers at a retail rate. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$23.52
Market Cap$12.6M
vs. Analyst Target-75.2% to analyst PT
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$5.83

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $10.25B $1.35B $5.08B $4.83B
2021 $10.50B $1.51B $4.90B $4.67B
2022 $12.54B $1.11B $5.09B $4.74B
2023 $12.05B $500M $4.51B $4.06B
2024 $12.31B $1.14B $4.94B $2.23B
2025 $13.67B $1.36B N/A $2.57B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $3.31B $212M
Sep 2025 $3.91B -$745M
Dec 2025 $3.05B $266M
Mar 2026 $3.55B $392M

Ownership & Float

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$23.85Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$24.08Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$23.54Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$22.42Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$24.03Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$23.48Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$22.66Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$23.10 support 1.99x 13 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (19 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap 0.05% 0.00% 42.11% 0.77% -0.77%
1 Day 0.07% -0.04% 31.58% 1.37% -0.96%
1 Week 0.14% 0.43% 57.89% 1.61% -1.74%
2 Weeks -0.25% 0.04% 52.63% 1.53% -2.48%
1 Month -0.09% -0.24% 36.84% 3.46% -4.09%

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan0.9%55.6%27
Feb0.5%63.0%27
Mar-0.7%37.0%27
Apr-0.9%22.2%27
May-0.0%57.7%26
Jun0.4%66.7%27
Jul-0.2%48.1%27
Aug0.2%63.0%27
Sep0.2%63.0%27
Oct-0.7%40.7%27
Nov0.2%59.3%27
Dec0.2%44.4%27

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.03% 46.2% 1274
Tuesday 0.01% 47.4% 1395
Wednesday -0.01% 47.6% 1394
Thursday 0.01% 47.9% 1368
Friday 0.03% 48.2% 1364

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Tennessee Valley Authority (TVE) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TVE on Trend Edge →