TROW — T. Rowe Price Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TROW Bearish with a Setup Score of 25, net conviction 22, actionability 28. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score25
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction22
Actionability28 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About T. Rowe Price Group Inc

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a bottom-up approach. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$118.55
Market Cap$25.08B
Float210.1M
Shares Outstanding214.3M
P/E (Forward)12.25
P/E (TTM)12.65
Price/Sales (TTM)3.39
vs. Analyst Target-12.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin28.28%
Operating Margin (TTM)37.18%
Revenue (TTM)$7.41B
Earnings Growth (YoY)3.70%
Dividend Rate5.2%
Analyst Target Price$104.08 (14 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.21B $2.37B $5.27B $2.25B
2021 $7.67B $3.08B $5.29B $3.91B
2022 $6.49B $1.56B $4.17B $2.71B
2023 $6.46B $1.75B $3.79B $2.24B
2024 $7.09B $2.10B $3.68B $2.98B
2025 $7.31B $2.09B $4.58B $2.88B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jun 2025 $1.72B $505M
Sep 2025 $1.89B $646M
Dec 2025 $1.93B $445M
Mar 2026 $1.86B $498M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.8%
Institutional Ownership89.9%
Short Float13.0%
% of All Funds Holding12.46%
Number of Funds Holding1,024

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$108.59Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$101.66Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$101.29Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$107.30Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$103.74Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$102.77Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$106.87Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$104.00 support 1.18x 0 months ago
$89.00 support 1.09x 2 months ago
$124.00 resistance 1.11x 18 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (121 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.30% -0.05% 45.45% 4.77% -10.82%
1 Day 0.19% 0.14% 52.07% 11.80% -8.77%
1 Week 0.94% -0.05% 49.59% 28.11% -14.70%
2 Weeks 1.46% 0.21% 51.24% 26.96% -18.35%
1 Month 1.37% 1.52% 55.83% 32.06% -25.39%

Next earnings: August 7, 2026 (25 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.3%62.5%40
Feb0.3%52.5%40
Mar1.0%52.5%40
Apr2.5%55.0%40
May1.5%58.5%41
Jun1.3%58.5%41
Jul2.6%65.0%40
Aug-0.4%45.0%40
Sep-1.0%47.5%40
Oct1.4%57.5%40
Nov2.6%70.0%40
Dec3.2%62.5%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 47.4% 1913
Tuesday 0.14% 48.9% 2081
Wednesday 0.04% 47.7% 2079
Thursday 0.05% 47.8% 2040
Friday 0.14% 50.9% 2028

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 89.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.8%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$307,680
Net Shares Change-1,498
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings1
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Jackson Stephon A. Vice President -$307,680 1 1 sell
MacLellan Robert F. -$2,814.828 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-05-14 Jackson Stephon A. Vice President -$307,680 Transaction at $102.56, now +15.6%
2025-09-23 MacLellan Robert F. -$2,814.828 Transaction at $88.91, now +33.3%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TROW on Trend Edge →