TROW — T. Rowe Price Group Inc

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TROW Bullish with a Setup Score of 22, net conviction 24, actionability 20. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score22
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability20 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About T. Rowe Price Group Inc

T. Rowe Price Group, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. The firm provides its services to individuals, institutional investors, retirement plans, financial intermediaries, and institutions. It launches and manages equity and fixed income mutual funds. The firm invests in the public equity and fixed income markets across the globe. It employs fundamental and quantitative analysis with a bottom-up approach. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$105.16
Market Cap$22.23B
Float209.2M
Shares Outstanding213.3M
P/E (Forward)10.15
P/E (TTM)10.46
Price/Sales (TTM)2.93
vs. Analyst Target+1.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin29.26%
Operating Margin (TTM)28.69%
Revenue (TTM)$7.59B
Earnings Growth (YoY)28.60%
Dividend Rate5.2%
Analyst Target Price$107.08 (13 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $6.21B $2.37B $5.27B $2.25B
2021 $7.67B $3.08B $5.29B $3.91B
2022 $6.49B $1.56B $4.17B $2.71B
2023 $6.46B $1.75B $3.79B $2.24B
2024 $7.09B $2.10B $3.68B $2.98B
2025 $7.31B $2.09B $4.58B $2.88B

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2025 $1.89B $646M
Dec 2025 $1.93B $445M
Mar 2026 $1.86B $498M
Jun 2026 $1.91B $632M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership1.7%
Institutional Ownership91.9%
Short Float12.5%
% of All Funds Holding13.02%
Number of Funds Holding1,145

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$108.28Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$103.81Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$101.96Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$107.10Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$104.38Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$101.66Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$106.43Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$89.00 support 1.09x 5 months ago
$115.00 resistance 1.18x 19 months ago
$124.00 resistance 1.11x 21 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (122 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.29% -0.04% 45.08% 4.77% -10.82%
1 Day 0.20% 0.14% 52.46% 11.80% -8.77%
1 Week 0.95% 0.06% 50.00% 28.11% -14.70%
2 Weeks 1.44% 0.19% 50.82% 26.96% -18.35%
1 Month 1.37% 1.35% 56.20% 32.06% -25.39%

Next earnings: October 30, 2026 (18 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan1.3%62.5%40
Feb0.3%52.5%40
Mar1.0%52.5%40
Apr2.5%55.0%40
May1.5%58.5%41
Jun1.3%58.5%41
Jul2.5%63.4%41
Aug-0.4%43.9%41
Sep-1.1%46.3%41
Oct1.4%57.5%40
Nov2.6%70.0%40
Dec3.2%62.5%40

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.01% 47.4% 1925
Tuesday 0.14% 48.9% 2094
Wednesday 0.04% 47.6% 2092
Thursday 0.05% 47.7% 2053
Friday 0.13% 50.8% 2041

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 91.9%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 1.7%

12-Month Insider Activity Summary

Total Filings2
Net Value-$1.4M
Net Shares Change-12,821
% of Float-0.0%
C-Suite Filings2
Clusters Detected0

Key Insiders

NameTitleNet ValueFilingsActivity
Nelson Joshua B Vice President -$1.1M 1 1 sell
Jackson Stephon A. Vice President -$307,680 1 1 sell

Significant Filings

DateInsiderTitleNet ValuePrice After
2026-08-25 Nelson Joshua B Vice President -$1.1M Transaction at $111.82, now -6.0%
2026-05-14 Jackson Stephon A. Vice President -$307,680 Transaction at $102.56, now +2.5%

View full insider transaction history on Trend Edge →

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for T. Rowe Price Group Inc (TROW) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TROW on Trend Edge →