Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.
Trend Edge Setup Score
Trend Edge rates TMDX Bullish with a Setup Score of 0, net conviction 34, actionability 0. How the Setup Score works →
Total Setup Score
0
Directional Bias
Bullish
Net Conviction
34
Actionability
0 (no mans land)
Key signals behind this score
80wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 105 vs px 71.23)
200wk Uptrend — trend only (sma 93.65 vs px 71.23)
Funds Accumulating — momZ +0.20 · 4.87→4.77
Short Squeeze Setup — velZ +0.31 · age 72w×0.51 · 22.98%
Founder-Led — founder/CEO led
Earnings Tailwind — ER in 16.489d · w1 med 3.6% (mag 3/3) · winRate 62.1% (rel 2/3) · n29
About TransMedics Group Inc
TransMedics Group, Inc., a commercial-stage medical technology company, engages in transforming organ transplant therapy for end-stage organ failure patients in the United States and internationally. The company provides Organ Care System (OCS), a portable organ perfusion, optimization, and monitoring system that utilizes its proprietary and customized technology to replicate near-physiologic conditions for donor organs outside of the human body.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →
Sector: Healthcare
Industry: Medical Devices
Exchange: NASDAQ
IPO Date: May 2, 2019
Headquarters: 200 Minuteman Road, Andover, MA, United States, 01810
Founder-Led: Yes — Waleed Hassanein (Founder, President and CEO)
Key Metrics
Current Price
$71.23
Market Cap
$2.49B
Float
33.4M
Shares Outstanding
34.6M
P/E (Forward)
35.71
P/E (TTM)
16.11
Price/Sales (TTM)
3.92
vs. Analyst Target
+63.2% to analyst PT
Profit Margin
27.04%
Operating Margin (TTM)
7.65%
Revenue (TTM)
$636M
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-71.50%
Dividend Rate
None
Analyst Target Price
$116.22 (9 analysts)
Financial History
Annual Revenue & Earnings History
Year
Revenue
Net Income
Gross Profit
EBITDA
2020
$25.6M
-$28.7M
$16.6M
-$23.2M
2021
$30.3M
-$44.2M
$21.2M
-$38.5M
2022
$93.5M
-$36.2M
$65.3M
-$29.0M
2023
$242M
-$25.0M
$154M
-$7.7M
2024
$442M
$35.5M
$262M
$69.9M
2025
$605M
$190M
$363M
$148M
Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income
Quarter
Revenue
Net Income
Jun 2025
$157M
$34.9M
Sep 2025
$144M
$24.3M
Dec 2025
$161M
$105M
Mar 2026
$174M
$7.3M
Ownership & Float
Insider Ownership
3.4%
Institutional Ownership
109.6%
Short Float
23.0%
% of All Funds Holding
4.77%
Number of Funds Holding
392
Current Moving Averages
Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.
Timeframe
SMA
Value
Trend Context
Weekly
10-Week SMA
$69.68
Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly
40-Week SMA
$110.87
Medium-term trend
Weekly
80-Week SMA
$104.92
Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly
200-Week SMA
$93.65
Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly
10-Month SMA
$108.38
Near-term monthly trend
Monthly
20-Month SMA
$102.83
Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly
40-Month SMA
$98.91
Secular monthly trend
Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance
Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume
creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative
volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.
Price Level
Type
Volume Ratio
Age
$100.00
resistance
1.89x
1 months ago
$139.00
resistance
1.18x
3 months ago
$155.00
resistance
2.13x
20 months ago
Historical Earnings Reactions (29 events)
Timeframe
Avg Return
Median
Win Rate
Best
Worst
Gap
3.18%
0.75%
55.17%
41.83%
-27.80%
1 Day
4.78%
1.09%
51.72%
51.18%
-29.90%
1 Week
3.73%
3.59%
62.07%
61.26%
-34.25%
2 Weeks
7.19%
5.09%
58.62%
68.92%
-28.37%
1 Month
9.75%
4.90%
57.14%
98.97%
-31.31%
Next earnings: July 29, 2026 (16 days away)
Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns
Monthly Seasonality
Month
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Jan
2.7%
71.4%
7
Feb
15.4%
71.4%
7
Mar
-2.9%
28.6%
7
Apr
9.5%
71.4%
7
May
6.2%
42.9%
7
Jun
13.7%
87.5%
8
Jul
-1.3%
42.9%
7
Aug
4.0%
57.1%
7
Sep
-9.7%
14.3%
7
Oct
-14.5%
28.6%
7
Nov
22.3%
85.7%
7
Dec
-2.7%
42.9%
7
Day-of-Week Tendencies
Day
Avg Return
Win Rate
Samples
Monday
0.10%
50.0%
338
Tuesday
0.51%
52.8%
373
Wednesday
0.00%
47.7%
369
Thursday
0.04%
48.2%
361
Friday
0.15%
46.3%
361
Top Institutional Holders
Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.
Total institutional ownership: 109.6%
Insider Transactions — Smart Summary
Total insider ownership: 3.4%
Founder-led management: Waleed Hassanein (Founder, President and CEO)
12-Month Insider Activity Summary
Total Filings
13
Net Value
+$1.4M
Net Shares Change
28,009
% of Float
0.1%
C-Suite Filings
7
Clusters Detected
1
Key Insiders
Name
Title
Net Value
Filings
Activity
Hassanein Waleed H
President & CEO
+$3.0M
2
2 buy
Hernandez Gerardo
Chief Financial Officer
-$730,830.65
2
2 sell
Gunderson Thomas J.
-$679,757.59
1
1 sell
Corcoran Nicholas
SVP of Supply Chain and Operations
-$545,765.12
1
1 sell
Weill David
-$473,586.02
1
1 sell
Ranganath Anil P.
Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
-$274,219.68
2
2 sell
Lovell Stephanie
-$178,496.66
1
1 sell
Transaction Clusters
Period
Filings
Insiders
Net Value
Seniority
2026-03-04 – 2026-03-06
5
5
-$1.9M
3 C-suite
Significant Filings
Date
Insider
Title
Net Value
Price After
2026-06-17
Gunderson Thomas J.
-$679,757.59
Transaction at $38.63, now +84.4%
2025-08-08
Hassanein Waleed H
President & CEO
+$2.0M
Transaction at $117.46, now -39.4%
2026-03-04
Corcoran Nicholas
SVP of Supply Chain and Operations
-$545,765.12
Transaction at $137.21, now -48.1%
2025-11-18
Hassanein Waleed H
President & CEO
+$1.0M
Transaction at $114.00, now -37.5%
2026-03-04
Ranganath Anil P.
Senior Vice President, General Counsel and Secretary
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(TMDX) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model.
The analysis covers five layers:
technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum,
volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals),
qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics),
insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions),
share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and
fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).
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