TITN — Titan Machinery Inc

Founder-Led

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates TITN Bullish with a Setup Score of 39, net conviction 24, actionability 62. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score39
Directional BiasBullish
Net Conviction24
Actionability62 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Titan Machinery Inc

Titan Machinery Inc. owns and operates a network of full service agricultural and construction equipment stores in the United States, Europe, and Australia. The company operates through four segments: Agriculture, Construction, Europe, and Australia. It sells new and used equipment, including agricultural and construction equipment manufactured under the CNH Industrial family of brands, as well as equipment from various other manufacturers. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$18.27
Market Cap$419M
Float18.9M
Shares Outstanding23.3M
P/E (Forward)44.05
Price/Sales (TTM)0.18
vs. Analyst Target+25.9% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-2.28%
Operating Margin (TTM)-0.98%
Revenue (TTM)$2.36B
Earnings Growth (YoY)-28.60%
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$23.00 (5 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2021 $1.41B $19.4M $261M $73.2M
2022 $1.71B $66.0M $333M $125M
2023 $2.21B $102M $440M $164M
2024 $2.76B $111M $531M $200M
2025 $2.70B -$36.9M $396M $42.6M
2026 $2.43B -$54.2M $383M $34.9M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Jul 2025 $546M -$6.0M
Oct 2025 $645M $1.2M
Jan 2026 $642M -$36.2M
Apr 2026 $522M -$12.6M

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership11.4%
Institutional Ownership92.7%
Short Float4.5%
% of All Funds Holding1.39%
Number of Funds Holding114

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$20.34Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$17.99Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$18.05Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$23.09Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$18.46Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$18.14Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$20.62Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$14.30 support 1.28x 17 months ago
$14.00 support 1.01x 19 months ago
$22.20 resistance 1.67x 25 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (75 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.19% 0.00% 48.00% 14.47% -19.32%
1 Day -1.23% -2.25% 34.67% 13.53% -12.75%
1 Week -1.72% -3.21% 41.33% 16.96% -18.45%
2 Weeks -2.17% -2.06% 36.00% 23.53% -22.29%
1 Month -1.77% -2.05% 40.54% 44.24% -38.34%

Next earnings: August 27, 2026 (45 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

MonthAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Jan4.5%57.9%19
Feb1.4%57.9%19
Mar-1.0%36.8%19
Apr4.6%68.4%19
May1.1%47.4%19
Jun1.8%57.9%19
Jul-0.3%38.9%18
Aug-4.7%38.9%18
Sep-6.4%22.2%18
Oct3.4%55.6%18
Nov8.8%66.7%18
Dec1.1%66.7%18

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.18% 51.0% 876
Tuesday 0.11% 49.8% 959
Wednesday -0.17% 45.7% 958
Thursday 0.03% 49.9% 939
Friday 0.24% 49.5% 934

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 92.7%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 11.4%

Founder-led management: David Meyer (Chairman of the Board)

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Titan Machinery Inc (TITN) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for TITN on Trend Edge →