SWVL — Swvl Holdings Corp

Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

About Swvl Holdings Corp

Swvl Holdings Corp., a technology-driven disruptive mobility company, provides mass transit solutions in Egypt, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom, and Kuwait. The company offers B2C product that provides riders with a network of minibuses and other vehicles operating on fixed and semi-fixed routes throughout and between the cities it serves. Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$1.37
Market Cap$15.7M
Float4.7M
Shares Outstanding10.0M
P/E (TTM)13.14
Price/Sales (TTM)0.65
vs. Analyst Target+9024.1% to analyst PT
Profit Margin5.43%
Operating Margin (TTM)-2.03%
Revenue (TTM)$24.2M
Dividend RateNone
Analyst Target Price$125.00 (1 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2020 $17.3M -$29.7M -$4.2M -$24.4M
2021 $25.6M -$141M -$5.8M -$132M
2022 $43.0M -$116M $179,831 N/A
2023 $22.9M $3.1M $4.1M $5.0M
2024 $17.2M -$10.3M $3.6M -$10.6M
2025 $24.2M $1.3M $4.4M $2.1M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Mar 2024 $4.0M -$2.8M
Jun 2024 $4.0M -$2.8M
Mar 2025 $4.9M $772,823
Jun 2025 $5.3M -$340,623

Ownership & Float

Insider Ownership9.5%
Institutional Ownership0.5%
Short Float0.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.07%
Number of Funds Holding6

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$1.63Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$2.17Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$3.33Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$5.13Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$2.08Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$3.40Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$3.78Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$2.30 resistance 9.34x 3 months ago
$2.80 resistance 1.07x 5 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (13 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -1.28% -0.10% 38.46% 0.59% -11.64%
1 Day -1.74% -0.60% 38.46% 4.07% -8.80%
1 Week -6.97% -0.81% 15.38% 20.46% -30.58%
2 Weeks -6.98% -5.69% 15.38% 92.93% -52.01%
1 Month -16.86% -12.07% 38.46% 8.22% -56.49%

Next earnings: July 20, 2026 (40 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday 0.12% 42.6% 244
Tuesday -0.38% 43.8% 272
Wednesday -0.46% 38.9% 270
Thursday 0.22% 41.1% 263
Friday -0.02% 42.3% 265

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 0.5%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Total insider ownership: 9.5%

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Swvl Holdings Corp (SWVL) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SWVL on Trend Edge →