SPMC — Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.

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Stock analysis, trade plans, and proprietary indicators by Trend Edge.

Trend Edge Setup Score

Trend Edge rates SPMC Bearish with a Setup Score of 22, net conviction 40, actionability 12. How the Setup Score works →

Total Setup Score22
Directional BiasBearish
Net Conviction40
Actionability12 (in range)

Key signals behind this score

About Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc.

Sound Point Meridian Capital, LLC operates as a closed-end management investment company in the United States. It focuses on investing primarily in equity and mezzanine tranches of collateralized loan obligations, which are collateralized by portfolios consisting primarily of below-investment grade U.S. senior secured loans. The company was founded in 2022 and is based in New York, New York.… Read full Trend Edge analysis →

Trend Edge Proprietary Indicators

Key Metrics

Current Price$10.30
Market Cap$212M
Shares Outstanding20.6M
P/E (Forward)5.60
Price/Sales (TTM)2.93
vs. Analyst Target+6.8% to analyst PT
Profit Margin-174.08%
Operating Margin (TTM)79.69%
Revenue (TTM)$72.5M
Dividend Rate2.4%
Analyst Target Price$11.00 (3 analysts)

Financial History

Annual Revenue & Earnings History

YearRevenueNet IncomeGross ProfitEBITDA
2023 $64.5M $63.6M $64.4M $63.6M
2024 $70.1M $17.6M $51.3M $22.3M
2025 -$108M -$126M -$122M -$126M

Recent Quarterly Revenue & Net Income

QuarterRevenueNet Income
Sep 2024 $14.7M $6.1M
Mar 2025 $42.8M $11.5M
Jun 2025 $38.4M -$7.6M
Mar 2026 $27.9M -$119M

Ownership & Float

Institutional Ownership6.3%
% of All Funds Holding0.10%
Number of Funds Holding8

Current Moving Averages

Trend Edge tracks near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular moving averages across weekly and monthly timeframes to identify trend structure at every horizon.

TimeframeSMAValueTrend Context
Weekly10-Week SMA$10.73Near-term / short-term trend
Weekly40-Week SMA$12.34Medium-term trend
Weekly80-Week SMA$15.63Cyclical trend (business cycle)
Weekly200-Week SMA$0.00Secular trend (multi-year)
Monthly10-Month SMA$11.97Near-term monthly trend
Monthly20-Month SMA$15.52Medium-term monthly trend
Monthly40-Month SMA$0.00Secular monthly trend

Volume Shelves — Support & Resistance

Trend Edge identifies volume shelves: price zones where historically elevated trading volume creates structural support or resistance. A volume shelf forms when a disproportionate share of cumulative volume was transacted at a specific price level, making it a high-conviction anchor for future price reactions.

Price LevelTypeVolume RatioAge
$11.30 resistance 1.04x 0 months ago
$9.30 support 1.36x 2 months ago
$13.90 resistance 1.66x 4 months ago
$15.30 resistance 1.19x 6 months ago

Historical Earnings Reactions (8 events)

TimeframeAvg ReturnMedianWin RateBestWorst
Gap -0.36% -0.27% 25.00% 0.97% -2.37%
1 Day -0.18% 0.27% 50.00% 2.62% -3.74%
1 Week -2.32% -0.17% 50.00% 6.30% -21.18%
2 Weeks -5.10% -2.33% 37.50% 7.21% -30.09%
1 Month -6.92% -2.42% 28.57% 5.99% -30.91%

Next earnings: August 11, 2026 (29 days away)

Seasonality & Day-of-Week Patterns

Monthly Seasonality

Insufficient historical data for monthly seasonality analysis (requires 7+ years of data).

Day-of-Week Tendencies

DayAvg ReturnWin RateSamples
Monday -0.19% 53.0% 100
Tuesday -0.15% 46.7% 107
Wednesday -0.02% 48.1% 104
Thursday 0.09% 50.0% 100
Friday -0.29% 44.1% 102

Top Institutional Holders

Institutional holder breakdown coming soon.

Total institutional ownership: 6.3%

Insider Transactions — Smart Summary

Full insider transaction history and smart buy/sell sentiment summary available on Trend Edge.

AI Consult Analysis

Trend Edge's AI Consult feature delivers a comprehensive, multi-layer trade plan for Sound Point Meridian Capital, Inc. (SPMC) powered by Claude Opus — Anthropic's most capable AI model. The analysis covers five layers: technical analysis (near-term, medium-term, cyclical, and secular trend, momentum, volume shelf support and resistance, breakout and breakdown signals), qualitative analysis (business model, competitive moat, sector dynamics), insider sentiment (buy and sell signals from executive and director transactions), share stats analysis (institutional accumulation, fund positioning, short float squeeze potential), and fundamental analysis (valuation, revenue growth, profit margin, earnings quality).

AI Consult synthesizes all five layers into a single bullish or bearish thesis with explicit entry, exit, stop loss, and take profit levels — giving you a complete, AI-powered trade plan with defined risk/reward. Whether you are building a long position, initiating a short, or looking for a reversal setup, AI Consult identifies the highest-probability signal from the current trend.

Get the full AI Consult analysis for SPMC on Trend Edge →